Another day; another sign that covid-19 spread is MUCH wider than currently understood. @kdrum

https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2020/04/heres-a-lifesaving-covid-19-test-that-costs-almost-nothing/At

At some point, our models run by government leaders need to account for this fact.

It doesn't mean starting lockdowns was wrong, but it will impact how/when we can end them. It also makes the "summer of quarantine" look less and less likely.

The key is that many journalists and reporters need to update their priors on this disease. To do other wise is "epistemic closure", as @drvox has written about.

Notably, leading articles like @voxdotcom and some others have almost not mentioned antibody tests. Instead, they go with articles like this by @dylanlscott https://www.vox.com/2020/4/20/21228406/coronavirus-covid-19-social-distancing-lockdown-end-research

We need more testing everywhere. It's the only way to get a grasp on the problem. But we need to accept that if COVID-19 Is multiples more widespread than believed than the entire calculus of costs/benefits change.

For example, @mattyglesias latest on schools, which I've been ranting about too. https://www.vox.com/2020/4/21/21223585/school-closure-impact-students-children