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Will you get on a plane if there is a 1 in 1000 chance of dying?
In New York, deaths are ~1000 per million population.
>2 times higher than Italy.
200 times higher than S. Korea.
Reflects what happens when COVID get in full force. @JInterlandi @DrSidMukherjee @DrAnasYounes
In New York, deaths are ~1000 per million population.
>2 times higher than Italy.
200 times higher than S. Korea.
Reflects what happens when COVID get in full force. @JInterlandi @DrSidMukherjee @DrAnasYounes
1 in 1000 mortality rate is mind blowing. It is exactly what COVID is capable of, if it spreads rapidly. My best estimate is 1-2% mortality risk if someone has symptomatic COVID.
Its not that NY did anything wrong. As the gateway to America, NY had a lots of COVID positive people come in from overseas before we limited travel, which then spread due to lack of testing, & made worse by overwhelmed healthcare system. @choo_ek
States which haven’t had big outbreaks are lucky. You haven’t had as many people with COVID enter your states yet. And you had time to prepare and lockdown when you saw what happened in NY and WA. When you reopen when cases are still high, as in GA, you are putting lives at risk
So as a doctor who has followed this closely I urge citizens to ask your leaders to be patient. Your states/counties/towns need adequate tests, adequate contact tracing capabilities, adequate PPE, and most importantly a low number of new cases to reopen safely. @ASlavitt
@Rfonsi1 — do these numbers not give support to your theory that COVID infection occurred in about 10% of New Yorkers and 1% mortality rate: 1000/million deaths.
The numbers (April 21) https://twitter.com/vincentrk/status/1252672886004948996
