Much of the debate on whether to bail out Branson’s airline or not is too narrow. It either focuses on saving jobs and air routes or not bailing out a tax avoiding billionaire. Valid points but they miss any consideration of what the world will be like #afterCOVID...
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The world will be different after the #coronavirus outbreak subsides. People will travel less. Business travel will be down now we know we can do more stuff online. Leisure travel too. How many will want to spend hours in airports and planes, both possible bug hotspots?
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We don’t know how countries will react with entry and security measures. Will there be more temperature checks, medical records or tests for visas. There will be fewer airlines and planes anyway, so how affordable will air travel be?
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As well thinking about how the world might be, we need to consider how we want the world to be. The outbreak gives us an opportunity to think about how reach the targets to avoid the #ClimateChange tipping point, ie the point of no return.
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Do we want to go back to the same level of air travel and what was it’s projected level of growth before the outbreak? Adversity has brought us an opportunity to consider that. I appreciate the painful impact of job losses. That becomes a question of how we support..
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...those affected, it shouldn’t override the longer term interests of the whole planet. The consideration of bailing out Branson and Virgin or any other airline needs to be seen through this lens.
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.. The timeline to the tipping point is tight and this is an opportunity out of nowhere. We shouldn’t waste it. Likewise we should reconsider major transport investments like HS2 and Heathrow in light of what travel will be like not what we thought it might before the pandemic.
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