1/And new from @USC @lapublichealth: An antibody study showing 4% of LA has been infected. With a clear explanation:
"Infections from the new coronavirus are far more widespread - and the fatality rate much lower - in L.A. County than previously thought."
http://www.publichealth.lacounty.gov/phcommon/public/media/mediapubhpdetail.cfm?prid=2328
"Infections from the new coronavirus are far more widespread - and the fatality rate much lower - in L.A. County than previously thought."
http://www.publichealth.lacounty.gov/phcommon/public/media/mediapubhpdetail.cfm?prid=2328
2/ They estimate the true infection rate in LA was 28-55x than the reported rate (similar to the @stanford study); anybody who claims the @stanford study got it wrong somehow has basically zero case...
3/ They don't quite come out and say it's time for the lockdown to end, but they do say this:
"The estimates also suggest that we might have to recalibrate disease prediction models and rethink public health strategies."
Rethink how, grasshopper?
"The estimates also suggest that we might have to recalibrate disease prediction models and rethink public health strategies."
Rethink how, grasshopper?