They can pretend not to know why Obama won. They can pretend not to remember his mathematical formula (4/10 white voters + 3/4 of Hispanic & AAPI voters + 9/10 black voters) and that the historic surge among black women (94 percent of whom voted for him) drove that.

And they can pretend not to understand what demographers like @robertpjones of @PRRIpoll and former GOP strategists like @stuartpstevens have stated repeatedly: that voting behavior has fused so completely with race, religion and culture it will be impossible to undo it in 7 mos.

But reality is what it is. The math is clear and obvious. @JoeBiden can do whatever he wants but he is in no way guaranteed a win in November just because @realDonaldTrump is a terrible, incompetent president. Even if he hurts his own voters, they will still support him.

Those Republicans who want out have already exited the party. They are already baked in. Biden needs BASE TURNOUT TO WIN. And he needs that turnout in what will surely be historic disenfranchisement, PLUS a pandemic that will mainly endanger black, brown and lower income voters.

IOW: HIS voters. He needs to find a way to inspire those voters to take the risk. That's the ballgame.