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A #COVID19 thread in many parts.
What no one wants to hear and everyone needs to hear:
We have not gotten past the peak.
What no one wants to hear and everyone needs to hear:
We have not gotten past the peak.
From TODAY's numbers, look at that lower right hand corner. That is a plateau, or since I am writing from AZ, let's call it a mesa... or what we HOPE is mesa "an isolated flat-topped hill with steep sides" https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
If we relax social distancing carelessly, then the steep right side of that mesa will go UP- we won't know how catastrophically for a couple of weeks, but while the daily case load remains stably high is NOT when to relax distancing measures. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/apr/20/fauci-coronavirus-covid-19-stay-home
Understanding the incidence rate in the general population is tricky, bc the US testing has been a DISASTER, but a few recent studies have shown that A LOT MORE PEOPLE LIKELY HAVE COVID-19 than we know...
Three recent US studies had bounded populations & screened most everyone. Spoiler alert a lot of folks were positive & didn't show symptoms or hadn't yet started showing symptoms...
14% of pregnant women checking into the hospital to deliver their baby were positive... and didn't have symptoms: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2009316
On the aircraft carrier US Theodore Roosevelt a majority of servicemembers testing positive were also asymptomatic: https://www.navytimes.com/news/coronavirus/2020/04/16/secdef-majority-of-roosevelt-sailors-with-covid-19-are-asymptomatic-flattop-still-wartime-ready/
And a screening of homeless folks in Boston showed widespread infection often with minimal or no symptoms: https://www.wbur.org/news/2020/04/17/worcester-homeless-population-covid-19-coronavirus
Pre-symptomatic individuals are likely most infectious to others just before & right at feeling sick: "We observed the highest viral load in throat swabs at the time of symptom onset & inferred that infectiousness peaked on or before symptom onset." https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0869-5
And #COVID19 is not the flu, it's not a cold, and how it attacks the human body is daunting: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/how-does-coronavirus-kill-clinicians-trace-ferocious-rampage-through-body-brain-toes
So let's look at the CONFIRMED THREE QUARTERS OF A MILLION CASES in the US right now. Some folks living land-locked in non-urban areas might foolishly take comfort from an image like this that shows the absolute number of cases https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
But let's look at how many cases scaled to the population, and now, what you see is that a whole lot of America looks alert level mauve:
And understand that health care in the US is an "efficiency" monster that is designed to UNDER-SUPPORT rural areas on the expectation that critical cases there get flown to sophisticated urban medical centers...
But where are rural folks gonna go when local resources are insufficient & urban medical centers are at capacity?
Answer: no good options, just a bunch of bad ones.
Answer: no good options, just a bunch of bad ones.
So everyone who can, who is non-essential, stays home as much as they possibly can.
& those folks who are essential to the function of our country, when they aren't making sure our country is functioning, they also stay home as much as possible.
& those folks who are essential to the function of our country, when they aren't making sure our country is functioning, they also stay home as much as possible.
"Until further notice—meaning, some significant developments in testing, manufacturing, infrastructure, and government coordination—you can assume the answer to any and all of the questions you think of in the “social distancing loopholes” genre is no." https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/4agza3/answer-to-all-social-distancing-loophole-questions-is-no
Policies to slow & stop transmission chains of COVID-19 are there to save people's lives.
Sidebar:
Remember when folks were saying ALL lives matter???
You said you weren't racist, that you love everyone, and want everyone supported.
GREAT!
WELL NOW IS YOUR TIME TO FINALLY SHINE!!!
Remember when folks were saying ALL lives matter???
You said you weren't racist, that you love everyone, and want everyone supported.
GREAT!
WELL NOW IS YOUR TIME TO FINALLY SHINE!!!
I mean, you been telling me BLUE LIVES MATTER, RIGHT? #StayInYourHouse https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/19/us/new-york-city-police-covid-19-deaths/index.html
& Health Care Workers are ANGELS, right?
But let's keep that FUCKING FIGURATIVE #StayTheFuckAtHome https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-health-202/2020/04/16/the-health-202-coronavirus-is-sickening-thousands-of-medical-workers/5e972f6988e0fa101a763966/
But let's keep that FUCKING FIGURATIVE #StayTheFuckAtHome https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-health-202/2020/04/16/the-health-202-coronavirus-is-sickening-thousands-of-medical-workers/5e972f6988e0fa101a763966/
And you are always emphasizing about how important it is to SUPPORT OUR TROOPS!
I AGREE: #GetInYourFuckingHouse https://www.usar.army.mil/News/Article/2121404/faqs-covid-19-impact-to-the-us-army-reserve/
I AGREE: #GetInYourFuckingHouse https://www.usar.army.mil/News/Article/2121404/faqs-covid-19-impact-to-the-us-army-reserve/
And let's just dial this to 11 & talk about military medics deployed to civilian health care!
getinyourdamnhousenow https://www.military.com/daily-news/2020/04/14/army-deploys-reserve-medical-specialists-aid-overwhelmed-city-hospitals.html
getinyourdamnhousenow https://www.military.com/daily-news/2020/04/14/army-deploys-reserve-medical-specialists-aid-overwhelmed-city-hospitals.html
Because what we do today, this week, this month, this year determines the America we are and the America we will be. https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2020/04/two-pandemics-us-coronavirus-inequality/609622/
So when can we relax these essential pandemic suppression policies?
There's a plan for that! https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/04/15/834021103/who-sets-6-conditions-for-ending-a-coronavirus-lockdown
There's a plan for that! https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/04/15/834021103/who-sets-6-conditions-for-ending-a-coronavirus-lockdown
Is your state doing those things?
Well why not?
Have you called your governor & mayor to tell them they should do those things?
Have you called your congressmembers to tell them the federal govt should support local governments doing those things?
You should make those calls.
Well why not?
Have you called your governor & mayor to tell them they should do those things?
Have you called your congressmembers to tell them the federal govt should support local governments doing those things?
You should make those calls.
Because here's the thing- viruses don't play politics, even if people do.
Indeed viruses are more successful the more asshattery is going around.
In order to suppress COVID-19 effectively, WE NEED STOP THE CHAINS OF TRANSMISSION OF ASSHATTERY! https://www.npr.org/2020/04/17/837202898/comic-fake-news-can-be-deadly-heres-how-to-spot-it
Indeed viruses are more successful the more asshattery is going around.
In order to suppress COVID-19 effectively, WE NEED STOP THE CHAINS OF TRANSMISSION OF ASSHATTERY! https://www.npr.org/2020/04/17/837202898/comic-fake-news-can-be-deadly-heres-how-to-spot-it
Check your sources!
Share reliable, responsible media platforms.
Because when you don't, even if the article is fairly solid, your validate & legitimize that platform- if the platform is questionable, find a report from a better media outlet:
https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/
Share reliable, responsible media platforms.
Because when you don't, even if the article is fairly solid, your validate & legitimize that platform- if the platform is questionable, find a report from a better media outlet:
https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/
This pandemic is only getting started.
This situation sucks.
I grieve daily.
But it could suck in ways that people clearly can't fathom.
Pull it together and do your part. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/apr/16/number-coronavirus-pandemic
This situation sucks.
I grieve daily.
But it could suck in ways that people clearly can't fathom.
Pull it together and do your part. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/apr/16/number-coronavirus-pandemic
"Because the only way out is through" https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/pandemic-summer-coronavirus-reopening-back-normal/609940/
