Capitalism is in trouble, but not from @BernieSanders.. Instead, it faces:
- Rapidly
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Chart with downwards trend" aria-label="Emoji: Chart with downwards trend"> population growth across
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Earth globe europe-africa" aria-label="Emoji: Earth globe europe-africa">
- Insufficient consumption & excess savings
- Monopolization across sectors, led by
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ป" title="Personal computer" aria-label="Emoji: Personal computer">
- Changing social expectations that limit business& #39; maneuverability
- Rapidly
- Insufficient consumption & excess savings
- Monopolization across sectors, led by
- Changing social expectations that limit business& #39; maneuverability
The population angle has been covered very well by @PeterZeihan as early as 2013.
Fertility rates across
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Earth globe europe-africa" aria-label="Emoji: Earth globe europe-africa"> has been falling for decades. Developed world is below replacement, & even developing countries like
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐จ๐ณ" title="Flag of China" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of China"> &
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ง๐ท" title="Flag of Brazil" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of Brazil"> are below
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐บ๐ธ" title="Flag of United States" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of United States">. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n9zH1dWeKE0">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
Fertility rates across
Since the days of Columbus there& #39;s been an expectation that there will always be more land, more resources, more people.
That expectation is rapidly falling apart, except in a few places like Central America & Africa. Expect much more aggressive interest in those places.
That expectation is rapidly falling apart, except in a few places like Central America & Africa. Expect much more aggressive interest in those places.
The excess savings issue has been
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐จ" title="Hammer" aria-label="Emoji: Hammer"> by @michaelxpettis for at least as long.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฉ๐ช" title="Flag of Germany" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of Germany"> exports 50% of GDP,
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ช๐บ" title="Flag of European Union" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of European Union"> runs a large current account surplus,
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐จ๐ณ" title="Flag of China" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of China">& #39;s household % of GDP is ~40%,
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฏ๐ต" title="Flag of Japan" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of Japan"> only grows from foreign markets.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐บ๐ธ" title="Flag of United States" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of United States"> can& #39;t--& won& #39;t--lift
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Earth globe americas" aria-label="Emoji: Earth globe americas"> economy forever. https://carnegieendowment.org/chinafinancialmarkets/51899">https://carnegieendowment.org/chinafina...
We are ill-suited to understand & deal w/ the issue of excess production b/c for 98% of human history we& #39;ve had to deal w/ insufficient production instead.
But industrialization has made the former much more likely, e.g. Great Depression.
http://www.tianxiangxiong.com/2019/12/22/whats-wrong-with-996.html">https://www.tianxiangxiong.com/2019/12/2...
But industrialization has made the former much more likely, e.g. Great Depression.
http://www.tianxiangxiong.com/2019/12/22/whats-wrong-with-996.html">https://www.tianxiangxiong.com/2019/12/2...
W/ insufficient production, solution is to grow more food, manufacture more goods, etc. People know how to do that; gov& #39;t intervention is usually counterproductive.
But w/ excess production,
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ญ" title="Factory" aria-label="Emoji: Factory"> enter a vicious
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="โป๏ธ" title="Universal recycling symbol" aria-label="Emoji: Universal recycling symbol"> of cutting costs & laying people off, exacerbating the problem.
But w/ excess production,
"But let the market sort it out!" the lonely libertarian cries. "Less efficient businesses will be culled and the market will rebalance".
On a small scale, perhaps. If there are too many
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐จ๐ณ" title="Flag of China" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of China"> restaurants in a
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐๏ธ" title="Cityscape" aria-label="Emoji: Cityscape">, some will shut down. But if there& #39;s too much
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฝ" title="Ear of maize" aria-label="Emoji: Ear of maize"> &
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ข๏ธ" title="Oil drum" aria-label="Emoji: Oil drum"> &
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Automobile" aria-label="Emoji: Automobile">...
On a small scale, perhaps. If there are too many
The "culling" will not merely be of a few businesses, but of a large % of society.
It& #39;s a mirror to the insufficient production problem, analogous to saying that a shortage of food can be fixed by some people not eating. Arithmetically yes--but good luck seeing that through.
It& #39;s a mirror to the insufficient production problem, analogous to saying that a shortage of food can be fixed by some people not eating. Arithmetically yes--but good luck seeing that through.
The monopoly issue has been written about by @matthewstoller is what I& #39;d say is a very selective but nonetheless still informative reading of history.
Monopoly is perhaps most salient in
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Globe with meridians" aria-label="Emoji: Globe with meridians">, but exists even in old industries like
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฅ" title="Peanuts" aria-label="Emoji: Peanuts">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ง" title="Butter" aria-label="Emoji: Butter">. https://twitter.com/xiongtx/status/1252292532173602818?s=20">https://twitter.com/xiongtx/s...
Monopoly is perhaps most salient in
The
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="โ" title="Red question mark ornament" aria-label="Emoji: Red question mark ornament"> is what is sustaining monopolies.
One reason must be the high barrier to entry that bureaucracies have produced. Look at "too big to fail"
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฆ" title="Bank" aria-label="Emoji: Bank">--they& #39;ve actually consolidated their positions since & #39;08 b/c only the largest institutions could meet regulatory requirements.
One reason must be the high barrier to entry that bureaucracies have produced. Look at "too big to fail"
The issue of how to tackle monopolies has no right, let alone simple answer. But the likes of @HawleyMO & other young politicians are starting to address them.
One starting point is goal-oriented rather than process-oriented regulation. https://twitter.com/xiongtx/status/1210721666101211137?s=20">https://twitter.com/xiongtx/s...
One starting point is goal-oriented rather than process-oriented regulation. https://twitter.com/xiongtx/status/1210721666101211137?s=20">https://twitter.com/xiongtx/s...
It& #39;s no secret that extant large players have an outsized role in determining what the processes are.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฆ" title="Bank" aria-label="Emoji: Bank"> lobby hard to make sure compliance standards adhere closely to what they& #39;re already doing.
Goals are a fairer standard--I don& #39;t care how you do it, just get it done!
Goals are a fairer standard--I don& #39;t care how you do it, just get it done!
The last issue of changing social expectations ties everything together.
Up to & including the Great Depression,
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฆ" title="Bank" aria-label="Emoji: Bank"> failures were common. Recession meant
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Person running" aria-label="Emoji: Person running"> to withdraw your
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐ฐ" title="Money bag" aria-label="Emoji: Money bag">; if you& #39;re too late, you lost your savings. That& #39;s simply intolerable today. https://twitter.com/xiongtx/status/1252112527422447619?s=20">https://twitter.com/xiongtx/s...
Up to & including the Great Depression,
During the current #WuhanCoronavirus it& #39;s simply expected that gov& #39;t will pay unemployment & bail out businesses large & small.
Societies will simply not tolerate what they did 100 yrs. ago, when families moved into shantytowns at the first
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Water wave" aria-label="Emoji: Water wave"> of layoffs.
Societies will simply not tolerate what they did 100 yrs. ago, when families moved into shantytowns at the first
This reduces the possibilities of businesses to deal w/ crises.
In the early days of the Depression Henry Ford first tried cutting prices & raising wages to boost demand; when it became clear that this was bigger than
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐" title="Automobile" aria-label="Emoji: Automobile">, he laid 2/3 of @Ford& #39;s
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="๐จโ๐ญ" title="Man factory worker" aria-label="Emoji: Man factory worker"> off.
Try doing that today!
In the early days of the Depression Henry Ford first tried cutting prices & raising wages to boost demand; when it became clear that this was bigger than
Try doing that today!