Read on Twitter
I don't understand our gameplan. I thought the gameplan was flatten the curve so the health system doesn't get overrun.
What is the return to flattening after that? If you flatten the IHME curve once it is below health system capacity, the total number of deaths is the same.
What is the return to flattening after that? If you flatten the IHME curve once it is below health system capacity, the total number of deaths is the same.
Some possible answers?
- we want to flatten it out for 1.5+ years so some people can benefit from a vaccine?
- final infection rate is lower if the curve is flatter. (Is it? How much lower?)
- we will soon be able to test and trace every infection (seems implausible in U.S.?)
- we want to flatten it out for 1.5+ years so some people can benefit from a vaccine?
- final infection rate is lower if the curve is flatter. (Is it? How much lower?)
- we will soon be able to test and trace every infection (seems implausible in U.S.?)
Everyone I follow on twitter seems absolutely certain that more shut downs are the only non-evil approach. I'd like to understand what endgame people have in mind. Can someone explain this to me?
