Bring back the Renaissance Man/Woman, or why "listening to the expert" is not such a good idea although it superficially seems so to all but the technocrats in our times. Thread:

Superficially it may seem clever to "listen to the expert", but all of us who have worked in any academic environment or university can tell you that "experts" can be defined as those who disagree with each other & there is never a consensus on any complex subject, ever.

"Experts" are always paid by someone/trying to further their career & know that to do so they need to become legitimized intellectual propagandists for a particular world/subject view. Non experts are in the dark about these career ladders & the biases & obedience they require

Complex subjects, in order to be grasped in a holistic way, need the understanding of many general areas of expertise and thought not a single one. Experts have generally relinquished most of the cross over areas in order to uphold their view that their area is the important one

Take the case of the current pandemic. There are many areas of expertise that need to be considered all at once. Not a single one. I will list all the experts in this case: epidemiologists, virologists, pulmonologists, intensivists, immunologists, public health specialists etc.

In all of the above cases, including in the single case of public health, there is not a single specialist but at least 3 separate ones in which people are individually specialised in: for public health they are health protection, health improvement or healthcare public health.

Truly listening to the experts means listening to a set of different areas of expertise which have little understanding of each other but a huge bias for their single area. Not having the inherent bias & focus of a single one but seeing all will always give you a better picture.

Be or become like a new Renaissance Man or Woman by listening and exploring all areas at once without falling into the professional career biases of each single one of them.

Let's get onto another example related to the current pandemic, specifically all the graphs circulating. You are presented a graph, & presume this graph represents reality because it was drawn up by some sort of expert in graphs right? Have we asked an expert in collecting data?

Because data collection in this pandemic would indicate an entirely different story than the one given by simple data visualization, let's say these are separate areas of expertise, and considering only one gives you a false picture.

So you see that most graphs have a steep gradient of a curve at the beginning and you jump to the conclusion that there has been a steep rise in cases in that country because the expert that drew & presented the graph the presented the graph that way right? Well, that's wrong.

Because an expert in data collection could tell you instead that at the initial phase of collecting data you don't have the data all at once to be able to cover & therefore interpret enough numbers to cover an entire country in one day, one week, or even one month.

So as you begin testing, it's the numbers of tests that increase daily not necessarily the cases (people don't come in all to be tested all at once on the first day of testing, testing kits are still being sourced, their number increases as the testing increases)

As the numbers of tests increase daily, your population sample increases daily, and therefore if the pandemic has already spread even before you began testing, the total numbers will increase daily as the positive cases increase in proportion to the increase in amount of tests.

As you can already see, from the point of view of an expert in data collection, the total numbers of tests increasing as the total numbers of positive cases increases does not mean that the cases in that country are increasing, but the expert in drawing graphs misses that part.

So basically if you account for how initial data collection works, outside of the abstraction of having enough testing kits and manpower to test all a population on the first day of data collection, all the steep gradients on the graphs could be telling you is: more daily tests.

But if you ask the expert that draws the graphs, or the expert mathematician that interprets the curve of the graph, whether it's an exponential curve or not, they will all miss the data collection part as that is not their area of expertise.

The Renaissance man or woman instead can see that an initial steep curve in a graph to do with anything affecting the entire population of a country in all probability means that this is growth in the rate of initial testing rather than any increase in cases in the country.

If you are looking for something that is already there in large numbers; the more you look, the more you will find it. That does not mean that what you are looking for is increasing, but that you are simply looking for it more.

In that respect, as a data collector can tell you, all graphs become meaningful only if the rate of data collection is constant rather than increasing daily. Otherwise, they mean very little. But other experts will, at times intentionally, miss that part entirely.

How many experts questioned how the PCR coronavirus testing actually works & what is tests? Thread: https://twitter.com/robinmonotti/status/1249998774413537280?s=19

https://twitter.com/robinmonotti/status/1252895270100176899?s=19

“First of all, the tripling of the tests resulted in a little more than tripling the number of those who tested positive. This tripling was presented to the citizens as a tripling of those infected."
Professor Dr. Gerd Bosbach , professor of statistics, mathematics & empirical.

"Austrian data also suggest that the risk of death increases sharply with age. The observed age dependency is consistent with that of the general annual risk of death in Austria. ”

Institute for Medical Statistics (IMS) of  the Medical University of Vienna, Austria.

“The number of reported infections is not very meaningful, since no population-based approach was chosen."

Prof. Dr. Matthias Schrappe, Hedwig François-Kettner, Dr. Matthias Gruhl, Franz Knieps, Prof. Dr. Holger Pfaff, Prof. Dr. Gerd Glaeske

Anyone who falsely rates the current procedure as appropriate should have to do so again every year in the influenza season with the same consequence given the annual influenza data. ”

Professor Dr. Dr. Martin Haditsch, microbiology, virology & infection epidemiolgy

"If the number of actual infections is much larger than the number of cases - by orders of magnitude larger - then the actual mortality rate is also much lower."

Professor Dr. Eran Bendavid and Professor Dr. Jay Bhattacharya  are medical professors at Stanford University, USA"

"a new infection, determined by a laboratory test, does not necessarily mean that we are dealing with a newly ill patient who will need a hospital bed."

Professor Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi , specialist in microbiology and infection epidemiology

"Of course, people will still die, but I lean out of the window and say: It could well be that in 2020 we won't have more deaths than in any other year. ”

Professor Dr. Hendrick Streeck , Professor of Virology and Director of the Institute for Virology

“In view of the well-known fact that 7-15% of acute respiratory illnesses (ARE) are always caused by coronaviruses with every 'flu wave', the number of cases now added is still completely within the normal range."

Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg , internist, pulmonologist

"anyone who has studied history will recognize the classic symptoms of collective hysteria here. Hysteria is contagious (...) whether the cure is perhaps worse than the illness. "

Jonathan Sumption , former judge of the British Supreme Court.

"SARS or MERS, which are characterized by a mortality rate of 10% and 36%, respectively, and which, unbelievably, did not cause panic in our country."

Professor Dr. Giulio Tarro , virologist, Italy.

"Reported deaths, such as the 3.4% official rate from the World Health Organization, are appalling - and meaningless. Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately large with severe symptoms and poor results."

Professor Dr. John Ioannidis, Stanford

"SARS-CoV-2 is likely to be overestimated since 2.6 million people annually die from respiratory infections"

French scientists Yanis Roussel, Audrey Giraud-Gatineau, Marie-Therese Jimenoe, Jean-Marc Rolain, Christine Zandotti, Philippe Colson and Didier Raoult

"every year there are new viruses that spread quickly to the world population. It becomes a matter of arbitrariness or special interests to declare a pandemic with a particular virus.”

Professor Dr. Franz Ruppert , psychotraumatologist.

"The numbers of 20 or 50,000 corona people named every day in different countries are utter nonsense. Not even 1 percent of the population has been tested."

Dr. Gerd Reuter , medical doctor

"These data confirm that we are still facing a panic epidemic and that the media are the main spreaders.”

Dr. Leopoldo Salmaso  from Italy specializes in infectious and tropical diseases as well as public health.

"If you get pictures of coffins and death departments from Italy or pictures of completely empty shelves, then their effects exceed the facts mentioned.”

Professor Dr. Gerd Bosbach , emeritus professor of statistics

“The overall clinical outcomes of Covid-19 are more similar to those of severe seasonal flu (with a death rate of about 0.1%) or pandemic flu (similar to those of 1957 and 1968) than an illness like SARS or MERS where the deaths were 9-10% and 36%"

**Dr. Anthony S. Fauci**

"The worst influenza year in recent history in Germany was the winter of 2018. It happened that around 25,000 people died in Germany within a period of 8 weeks."

Professor Dr. Carsten Scheller  is a professor of virology at the University of Würzburg.

“Mass psychology has taught us since Le Bon at the latest that people, especially in times of crisis, are united under the impression of a threat to form a uniform mass. It does not matter whether the threat exists"

Harald Haas , psychologist, political scientist.

"Official data now prove for the first time that the rapid increase in the number of cases essentially results from an increase in the number of tests."

Paul Schreyer , investigative journalist

"Today we can only talk about the percentage of deaths among hospitalized patients. All other numbers are wrong 'and as such' they also distort people's impression"

Professor Dr. Maria Rita Gismondo , microbiologist, Milan, Italy.

"When someone makes a lot of noise about something like Corona ... I think it is all very dramatized. From day one, I said the numbers weren't right - as was the case with swine flu. ”

Dr. Pablo Goldschmidt , virologist. Monaco, France and Argentina.

"We form neutralizing antibodies and thus immunity against virus infections - especially against beta-coronaviruses, to which the SARS-CoV-2 belongs.”

Professor Dr. med. Pietro Vernazza , chief physician of infectiology at the St. Gallen Cantonal Hospital, Switzerland.

"The pandemic psychosis opens up the possibility of creating a new totalitarian world order "to save humanity". The fact that there are greater interests in generating or even using a mass delusion is immediately punished as a 'conspiracy theory'."

Dr. Hans-Joachim Maaz

“The psychological principle that makes us afraid of swine flu, bird flu or COVID-19, but not of the common flu, is fear of the risk of fear."

Professor Dr. Gerd Gigerenzer  is director of the Harding Center for Risk Competence at the University in Potsdam.

"An IFR of 0.1%, which is probably a conservative number, indicates that everyone is already infected. This implies that SARS-CoV-2 spread quickly before almost everyone was aware of it."

Professor Dr. Mikko Paunio , epidemiologist, University of Helsinki, Finland.

"The era of virologists is over. We should now ask others what is right in the corona crisis"

Professor Dr. Klaus Püschel, forensic doctor and head of forensic medicine in Hamburg.

All quotes from 120 experts from various medical & scientific fields all in agreement against the restrictive lockdown measures being taken by European governments:
http://blauerbote.com/2020/04/19/120-expertenstimmen-zu-corona/

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