Just by the way...

The United States is *still* a quarter million cases away from being "as bad as Italy" in terms of percentage of the population infected with COVID-19.

In terms of deaths, we are 89,000 deaths away.

The U.S. has 644,000 cases and 28,500 deaths depending on who you ask (Worldometers is my preferred site.)

We would "need" 890k total cases and 117k total deaths to be close to Italy& #39;s impact. At the current rates, we& #39;ll get to those numbers on 4/23 and 5/23, respectively.

Might as well continue this thread...average new cases, three- five- and seven-day running averages. Line of best fit is for the 7 day number. Pretty solid correlation huh?

Obviously you see the forecast period...continuing it (I think it& #39;s grossly optimistic, but it& #39;s worth a look with r-squared as high as it is) shows 0 new cases on April 24. Not likely...but we& #39;ll see.