Wait, the model that got everything wrong in real-time (and even after multiple updates couldN’t match ACTUAL data) is now making estimates for a past that didn’t exist, and comparing them to current marshmallow man death figures? Oh. Sounds plausible. https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1250370089234444288">https://twitter.com/drericdin...
The nice thing about this estimate from the point of view of @IHME_UW is that it can never be proven wrong. And they really need that.
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