"The effect would have been substantial had the policies been imposed even one week earlier, on March 9, resulting in approximately a 60 percent reduction in deaths."

Britta L. Jewell is a research fellow in infectious disease epidemiology at Imperial College, London.
Nicholas P. Jewell is the chair of biostatistics and epidemiology at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and a professor at the University of California, Berkeley.
"Decisions about the timing of imposing social distancing are now largely behind us. The next critical decisions will center on when we begin easing stay-at-home policies."
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