Friedrich Hayek has some good explanations for why your epidemiologists& #39; models were so far from reality. https://mises.org/library/pretense-knowledge">https://mises.org/library/p...

Expectation is the mother of disappointment.

Nobody can possibly know what kind of implications will result from an open-ended suspension of economic activity.

Just because you can run a model of a social phenomenon does not mean society has to function according to the specifications of your model. If you can& #39;t reliably predict things, accept the world is more complex than your model & stop asking others to live their lives by it.

Not enough people know Hayek& #39;s work on complexity.

Brian Arthur, of the Santa Fe Institute which is at the forefront of modern complexity research admitted all they achieved was to rediscover the Austrians

https://reason.com/1996/01/01/complex-questions/">https://reason.com/1996/01/0...