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Friedrich Hayek has some good explanations for why your epidemiologists' models were so far from reality. https://mises.org/library/pretense-knowledge
Expectation is the mother of disappointment.
Nobody can possibly know what kind of implications will result from an open-ended suspension of economic activity.
Just because you can run a model of a social phenomenon does not mean society has to function according to the specifications of your model. If you can't reliably predict things, accept the world is more complex than your model & stop asking others to live their lives by it.
Not enough people know Hayek's work on complexity.
Brian Arthur, of the Santa Fe Institute which is at the forefront of modern complexity research admitted all they achieved was to rediscover the Austrians
https://reason.com/1996/01/01/complex-questions/
Brian Arthur, of the Santa Fe Institute which is at the forefront of modern complexity research admitted all they achieved was to rediscover the Austrians
https://reason.com/1996/01/01/complex-questions/
