#COVID19 projections will be hugely influential in the coming months as we prepare to slowly re-open society. Introducing @CovidProjection, a tool for epidemiologists/policy makers to track differences between models and for the same model over time
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📈" title="Chart with upwards trend" aria-label="Emoji: Chart with upwards trend">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📉" title="Chart with downwards trend" aria-label="Emoji: Chart with downwards trend"> http://www.covid-projections.com"> http://www.covid-projections.com
@CovidProjection consists of two components:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> A data parser that downloads and compiles current and historical projection data.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> An interactive dashboard that visualizes changes in projections over time
The data parser currently ingests data from two models:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> @IHME_UW
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> @LosAlamosNatLab
Modeling pandemics is tremendously difficult - it’s far easier to be wrong than right. I applaud both groups for their efforts to make their data easily accessible in the public interest.
Modeling pandemics is tremendously difficult - it’s far easier to be wrong than right. I applaud both groups for their efforts to make their data easily accessible in the public interest.
The dashboard currently supports a historical view into @IHME_UW projections with more features to come.
In making this tool, I’m acutely aware that these graphs may be used inappropriately to promote immediate reduction in physical distancing/NPIs.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Police cars revolving light" aria-label="Emoji: Police cars revolving light">
In making this tool, I’m acutely aware that these graphs may be used inappropriately to promote immediate reduction in physical distancing/NPIs.
Plots include a watermark because I want @CovidProjection to be tagged if these charts are used inappropriately. I plan to actively develop new features but may not release them publicly if the harm starts to outweigh the benefit. Consider yourselves warned.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚔" title="Oncoming police car" aria-label="Emoji: Oncoming police car">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Police cars revolving light" aria-label="Emoji: Police cars revolving light">
@CovidProjection was built in python
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐍" title="Snake" aria-label="Emoji: Snake"> using @plotlygraphs Dash framework. In the interests of promoting active development, I’ve open-sourced the code here. https://github.com/yuorme/covid-projections">https://github.com/yuorme/co...
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💻" title="Personal computer" aria-label="Emoji: Personal computer">
The original models can be found here:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> @IHME_UW
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/data-downloads
https://www.healthdata.org/covid/dat... class="Emoji" style="height:16px;" src=" https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> @LosAlamosNatLab
#link%20to%20forecasting%20site">https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org/ #link%20to%20forecasting%20site">https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org/...
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/data-downloads
#link%20to%20forecasting%20site">https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org/ #link%20to%20forecasting%20site">https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org/...
This tweet is really starting to take off. For the record, I am not an epidemiologist and am actively trying to leave interpretation to the experts. Some of these experts you should follow are: @CT_Bergstrom, @reichlab, @nataliexdean, @mlipsitch, @BillHanage, @zbinney_NFLinj
And no, I don& #39;t have a soundcloud. If you& #39;re fortunate enough to have a stable income in these difficult times, please consider checking in on your neighbours, volunteering in your community, or making a charitable donation #cavabienaller
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