Interesting projections of #SARSCoV2 circulation in the coming years by @mlipsitch et al.

Concordant with our analysis:
https://smw.ch/article/doi/smw.2020.20224

@Jan_Albert_ @robert_dyrdak @firefoxx66 and I used data on seasonal CoVs from Sweden and arrived at similar conclusions. https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1250108046317096960

I think (hope) that potential subsequent waves of #SARSCoV2 will result in much milder disease because
(i) those will mostly affect the young without preexisting immunity, and
(ii) since the disease might be milder in those that have preexisting immunity.

For a brief tweetorial of our paper, have a look at this thread from February: https://twitter.com/richardneher/status/1229487444011233281