[When Will This Corona End]

Some people say this corona pandemic would end in summer, some other say it would end in the end by the end of this year, while many other also say it would actually last longer like 18 months or more until the vaccine of this virus found.
People that says this pandemic would end in summer because they believe this virus would die faster in the warm weather, but i personally doubt it, because even in the tropical country like Indonesia, the number of infected keep rising, so the warm weather would not necessarily..
Bring the number down to zero so quickly. Summer or warm weather might bring some impact but i doubt it would be very significant. Some others believe by the end of this year or maybe july because they believe the number of infected will start go down by the statistic prediction.
This two arguments rely on the low number of infected people, which mean less probability for people to be infected by those who has been infected. But i have question in this scenario are we really going to take down pandemic alert when the number just low?..
While the potential of getting infected is still there, and no vaccine or retroviral to this virus is still not yet around. I dont think so, with no vaccine i think its difficult for people to keep doing activity and not scare to be infected.
I might be wrong in this, because in this scenario, the people that is infected could be down to zero, and area would be free of from this virus,so the virus could not spread anymore im country or area. So the area could be clear from the virus even the vaccine has yet been found
but note that with this current mobility where people can go from country to country, every country should have been free from virus first. or country would ban travel to and from country which still have cases. But this scenario in my own opinion is in small chances.
So with this, i would think the most possible scenario about when this corona will end is after we found the vaccine or retrovirus. We need to get a lot if not all people be vaccinenated or getting retrovirus when they are infected. But this process could take 12 to 18 months.
Or maybe more, thinking about this make me sad, about how long will it take. I am scared if this is really the case, how is the impact to a lot of people for this very long time. I read many article about people are in the choices, rather they die of corona or die by hunger
Because the impact is really different to different economy level. even the priviledged one could also ne impavted a lot in this case. The role of "good" governmnent is really needed. If we are going to face this long situation, gov really need to make sure, the food production,,
And make sure everyone is able to be fed. But after all i still am hoping this pandemic would end soon, like the vaccine could be found faster. and while waiting on that, i hope Indonesian government could act better like south korean on massive testing or taiwan with initiative
On taking over the production of mask and any other health protection toward virus. Being more transparent about the data, and actually do something.
Disclaimer, this thread just consist of my own opinion, and argument i build based on things i reead and watch, i open if there is any correction or dicscussion.
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