Read on Twitter
The official coronavirus count (hospital-based) for last week was around 5000, so it looks like the figures are mostly capturing deaths. Of 5000 people.
In a week.
Due to government's strategy to infect and kill these people. https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1249981383956668417
In a week.
Due to government's strategy to infect and kill these people. https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1249981383956668417
It's going to be a very long time before we can unpick the true death toll of the strategy Boris Johnson and friends chose to pursue.
Another thing to note with the ONS figures is there's a decent chance fewer excess deaths due to other causes are happening right now, with roads being clearer and people going out less - so that 5200-6000 excess deaths figure could be *all* COVID.
More numbers on out-of-hospital deaths, which contextualise the ONS figure and actually make the numbers add up fairly well, with more than 500 deaths in recent weeks. The official government death toll is an *underestimate*. Don't forget that. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/14/uk-care-home-providers-report-521-coronavirus-deaths
Around 90% of coronavirus deaths happen in hospital, and if we compare official figures (hospital deaths only) with the ONS figures and what's reported by care homes, we are indeed looking at about 5-10% of deaths happening outside of hospitals.
Why does this matter? It helps us to adjust the count of the people killed by Boris Johnson to more accurately reflect what's happening.
So, with the official hospital-based death count standing at 11,329 today, we're looking at an actual death toll of between 11,900 to 12,500 when we adjust for the numbers the ONS and reports from care homes are giving us.
But while we're talking about numbers, I want to remind you that at some point this week - today, tomorrow, perhaps Thursday, we're going to see a horrifically high hospital official death count, and here's why. https://twitter.com/stavvers/status/1249302144051748864
