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1/Immediate re-opening of the economy, or not?
Either way can be viable, if done in a thoughtful, responsible way.
But whoever in power does it in a half-assed way need to be held ACCOUNTABLE for his/her actions.
Either way can be viable, if done in a thoughtful, responsible way.
But whoever in power does it in a half-assed way need to be held ACCOUNTABLE for his/her actions.
2/rapid re-opening (herd immunity via infection):
massive testing - active carriers of COVID19 take sick leave and isolate themselves
personal responsibility - non-centralized contact tracing allowing sick people to notify their RECENT HIGH-RISK contacts (65+ people etc) ASAP
massive testing - active carriers of COVID19 take sick leave and isolate themselves
personal responsibility - non-centralized contact tracing allowing sick people to notify their RECENT HIGH-RISK contacts (65+ people etc) ASAP
3/guided treatment - stockpiles of HCQ/Remdesivir/antibody; guildlines for doctors to tailor individual's treatment regimen
Assuming we all get infected twice (because IgG may not last very long) in the next 18 months, we might as well figure out our individual regimen now.
Assuming we all get infected twice (because IgG may not last very long) in the next 18 months, we might as well figure out our individual regimen now.
4/ ample PPE for high-risk groups.
This route is a genetic lottery at an individual level.
but overall the nationwide economy can bounce back to normal in 4-6 months.
This route is a genetic lottery at an individual level.
but overall the nationwide economy can bounce back to normal in 4-6 months.
5/ lock-down route (China/SK route)
massive testing - to identify and isolate carriers
shelter hospitals - minimizing COVID19 carriers in public
economic support - temp workers in delivery & healthcare, loan deferment + basic income for unemployed
massive PPE - for everyone
massive testing - to identify and isolate carriers
shelter hospitals - minimizing COVID19 carriers in public
economic support - temp workers in delivery & healthcare, loan deferment + basic income for unemployed
massive PPE - for everyone
6/ end game - effective monoclonal antibody or vaccine.
This route takes longer, may cost the economy more, but will save more lives, especially among the elderly.
This route takes longer, may cost the economy more, but will save more lives, especially among the elderly.
7/ What frustrates me is that we are adopting a half-ass midway approach, resulting the worst of both worlds:
not saving more lives, and not saving more money.
Decision makers must be held accountable.
not saving more lives, and not saving more money.
Decision makers must be held accountable.
