1/ Yes, the geniuses at @IHME_UW have updated their model again. According to them, we are now PAST the peak of hospitalizations - which were cut yet again, to 57,000 beds from 94,000 in the previous forecast (and 262,000 in the April 1 forecast - April Fool’s!)...

2/ In other words, they cut their expectation for hospitalizations by almost ~80%. In 10 days. Everybody makes mistakes, right? What @nytimes et al will no doubt focus on is a slight increase in death projections, to about 69,000...

3/ Which, given the *aggressive* way states are counting deaths (hospice deaths!), might even be reached. But ask yourself this - is it possible that 69,000 people died from #COVID if no more than 56,000 were ever hospitalized at once and the US epidemic peaked in under a month?

4/ Remember, most people who are hospitalized do not wind up on ventilators or dead - thankfully. In any case, 69,000 deaths is a bit worse than a bad flu season. I sure am glad we put ourselves into a depression!