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If you have a disease that doubles in spread every three days...
... but you have a strong way to halt transmission...
... then starting those strong measures just *three days earlier* will reduce the number of victims by 50%.
We should have done more. I can’t get over it. https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1249821828891250688">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
... but you have a strong way to halt transmission...
... then starting those strong measures just *three days earlier* will reduce the number of victims by 50%.
We should have done more. I can’t get over it. https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1249821828891250688">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
To be clear
a) the above is a theoretical model, reality will be more complex — although as you can see from the chart, the model is a reasonable one
b) politicians deal in uncertainty; they try to do the right thing; and everyone makes mistakes.
But still
a) the above is a theoretical model, reality will be more complex — although as you can see from the chart, the model is a reasonable one
b) politicians deal in uncertainty; they try to do the right thing; and everyone makes mistakes.
But still
