As a Californian technologist this is happening roughly as people foresaw seven years ago.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cOubCHLXT6A">https://www.youtube.com/watch... https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1249791237894205440">https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/s...
Yes, specific details are different, as the pandemic has accelerated many trends.

But broadly speaking if you were listening to tech, a number of people (Andreessen, Draper, Page, etc) forecast new countries, breakup, or exit of some kind.

Dysfunctionality was the macro driver.
Transcript of Silicon Valley& #39;s Ultimate Exit from 2013. Judge for yourself how well it holds up.

It was actually calling for starting new countries rather than having CA break away, *but* general idea of techlash & dysfunction-driven devolution is there. https://genius.com/Balaji-srinivasan-silicon-valleys-ultimate-exit-annotated">https://genius.com/Balaji-sr...
Also, seven years ago @fmanjoo was saying that SV couldn& #39;t exit the US, no way no how.

Now total 180. He& #39;s a "Californian nationalist" and this is happening faster than he thought it would.

For this future, while before he was against it?
#selection-2613.72-2613.220">http://archive.is/PsOZr #selection-2613.72-2613.220">https://archive.is/PsOZr...
Why does this keep happening? Why are tech journalists so constantly blindsided not just by the virus, but by Facebook, Bitcoin, the American Devolution, and more?

If the best way to predict the future is to invent it, the worst way to predict the future is to pathologize it.
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