As a Californian technologist this is happening roughly as people foresaw seven years ago.
https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1249791237894205440
Yes, specific details are different, as the pandemic has accelerated many trends.

But broadly speaking if you were listening to tech, a number of people (Andreessen, Draper, Page, etc) forecast new countries, breakup, or exit of some kind.

Dysfunctionality was the macro driver.
Also, seven years ago @fmanjoo was saying that SV couldn't exit the US, no way no how.

Now total 180. He's a "Californian nationalist" and this is happening faster than he thought it would.

For this future, while before he was against it?
http://archive.is/PsOZr#selection-2613.72-2613.220
Why does this keep happening? Why are tech journalists so constantly blindsided not just by the virus, but by Facebook, Bitcoin, the American Devolution, and more?

If the best way to predict the future is to invent it, the worst way to predict the future is to pathologize it.
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