Imagine the US locked down on March 1st as many experts were recommending at the time.

Instead of deaths peaking at 2,000 per day, deaths would have probably peaked at 100 to 200 per day - we have the data! And we would have only needed 5% to 10% of the PPE we actually needed.

The economic costs would have been much less too. And we'd have sufficient testing now to do test-and-trace (we need much more now because of the much larger spread).