Following @DHSCgovuk update that UK #COVID19 death toll is now 11,329, an updated chart of trajectories.
- UK still in line with Italian path. Death toll heading in same direction.
- % growth rate of death toll is slowing - but NB figs around weekends are often understatements

While UK #COVID19 numbers continue to shock, bear in mind the growth rate is slowing.
A week ago the death toll was doubling every four days.
Now it's doubling every week.
That's a big difference.
A week ago it looked like we were heading for 20k deaths around now.

A few of you have asked why my charts don't adjust for population. Stock answer is that outbreaks don't tend to be determined by population in early stages. Now I've finally got round to making a population-adjusted version of the chart to compare and contrast with the other one

If you're wondering: why is he using this data - aren't there BIG question marks over it? Why is he using weird log axes? Why include Chinese data...?
These are all good questions and I've tried to answer as many as possible in a running Q&A on my blog: https://www.edmundconway.com/2020/04/covid-19-data-qa/