I see Toby Young has written his column again. Here’s my take from last week on why it is reckless nonsense. https://twitter.com/james_bg/status/1245337904240623616

Obviously, declaring ‘I don’t believe in those models, I think this cherry picked one is better and, no, I won’t explain why’ is a staggeringly dumb argument, but where Toby and his fellow travellers are being smart is they are setting themselves up to say they won anyway.

Even with the likely highest number of deaths in Europe it looks as if the worst case scenarios in the models could now be avoided. If that happens it will be because of the measures taken, but Toby et al will say it is because the threat was overstated.

Then, by arguing to come out of lockdown early - which lots of reports suggest the government is planning to ease in late May anyway - they’ll argue they were listened to. If all is well, they’ll again slam the precautionary principle...

And if there is a tragic resurgence in deaths they’ll either double down or hope, as usual, that everyone forgets how reckless they were.

Again, we’re basically getting the next two decades of climate discourse squeezed into four months.