Concerning the matter of "re-opening" the country, it& #39;s interesting to watch the different approaches in Germany v the USA. In the USA, the debate appears to be quite binary: Reopen, yes or no? (As evidenced by the tweet below, which argues against this standard approach). 1/ https://twitter.com/Steve_Sailer/status/1249122106626932737">https://twitter.com/Steve_Sai...

In Germany, meanwhile, practically no-one argues for going all in. It& #39;s all about which parts of society should go back on line: Schools, for example, would be desirable for many reasons -- but then, that would be good environment for spread. Etc. etc. 2/

It seems to me the latter approach is wiser. For one, if you must add fuel to the fire, you don& #39;t want to add all the fuel at once, do you? Less metaphorically, if the aim is to not overload the hospital system, you want to increase the load slowly. 3/

Also, with such an approach, you get at least some idea of the effects of specific policies: For example, re-open schools, wait four weeks, see what has happened. 4/

Of course, for estimating effects, it would be even better to use a randomization procedure to decide which change does what when. But that& #39;s not going to happen. 5/5