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Borussia Dortmund in hone & away games: A thread
Dortmund at home > Dortmund in away games (2019/20 league & CL season)
Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate]
Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]
![Dortmund at home > Dortmund in away games (2019/20 league & CL season)Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate] Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVZEQPxXsAIRhDu.png "Dortmund at home > Dortmund in away games (2019/20 league & CL season)Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate] Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]")
![Dortmund at home > Dortmund in away games (2019/20 league & CL season)Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate] Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVZERcnWsAAd_c7.png "Dortmund at home > Dortmund in away games (2019/20 league & CL season)Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate] Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]")
Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate]
Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]
Now let's look at the strongest home teams in top 5 leagues and compare it with their away success
LaLiga (Barca): 93% vs 38%
Ligue 1 (Paris): 85% vs 77%
Serie A (Juve): 92% vs 61%
PL (Liverpool): 100% vs 85%
Only Barca comes close to such a big difference compared to BVB
LaLiga (Barca): 93% vs 38%
Ligue 1 (Paris): 85% vs 77%
Serie A (Juve): 92% vs 61%
PL (Liverpool): 100% vs 85%
Only Barca comes close to such a big difference compared to BVB
This are outrageous numbers but what are the reasons for it?
Here are a few of my thoughts:
-quality of Bundesliga is so high that even the best home team has by far the lowest win rate out of the top 5 leagues
(1/3)
Here are a few of my thoughts:
-quality of Bundesliga is so high that even the best home team has by far the lowest win rate out of the top 5 leagues
(1/3)
-BVB is an average team getting carried by the crowd and only performing in their "comfort zone"
-exept of Bayern & Berlin every lost point in an away game was decided after the 80th minute, 4 points even lost because of own goals after the 88th minute (Frankfurt&Freiburg)
(2/3)
-exept of Bayern & Berlin every lost point in an away game was decided after the 80th minute, 4 points even lost because of own goals after the 88th minute (Frankfurt&Freiburg)
(2/3)
->missing luck is defenetly another aspect this season but it can't be dnied that loosing points in the last minutes of the game can't be coincidence anymore when it happens so often!
Have you got more reason? Add your thoughts
(3/3)
Have you got more reason? Add your thoughts
(3/3)
Almost every year Dortmund has 20% to 30% higher win rate at home compared to away games.
This season it's 40% lower but if you add the two lost wins because of overtime own goals it would be an away win rate of 46%, which qould be the BVB average, no worries needed right here
This season it's 40% lower but if you add the two lost wins because of overtime own goals it would be an away win rate of 46%, which qould be the BVB average, no worries needed right here
