Dortmund at home > Dortmund in away games (2019/20 league & CL season)
Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate]
Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]
Home: 12-4-0 (46:13 goals) [0.75% win rate]
Away: 6-3-7 (30:30 goals) [35.3% win rate]
Now let& #39;s look at the strongest home teams in top 5 leagues and compare it with their away success
LaLiga (Barca): 93% vs 38%
Ligue 1 (Paris): 85% vs 77%
Serie A (Juve): 92% vs 61%
PL (Liverpool): 100% vs 85%
Only Barca comes close to such a big difference compared to BVB
LaLiga (Barca): 93% vs 38%
Ligue 1 (Paris): 85% vs 77%
Serie A (Juve): 92% vs 61%
PL (Liverpool): 100% vs 85%
Only Barca comes close to such a big difference compared to BVB
This are outrageous numbers but what are the reasons for it?
Here are a few of my thoughts:
-quality of Bundesliga is so high that even the best home team has by far the lowest win rate out of the top 5 leagues
(1/3)
Here are a few of my thoughts:
-quality of Bundesliga is so high that even the best home team has by far the lowest win rate out of the top 5 leagues
(1/3)
-BVB is an average team getting carried by the crowd and only performing in their "comfort zone"
-exept of Bayern & Berlin every lost point in an away game was decided after the 80th minute, 4 points even lost because of own goals after the 88th minute (Frankfurt&Freiburg)
(2/3)
-exept of Bayern & Berlin every lost point in an away game was decided after the 80th minute, 4 points even lost because of own goals after the 88th minute (Frankfurt&Freiburg)
(2/3)
->missing luck is defenetly another aspect this season but it can& #39;t be dnied that loosing points in the last minutes of the game can& #39;t be coincidence anymore when it happens so often!
Have you got more reason? Add your thoughts
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(3/3)
Have you got more reason? Add your thoughts
(3/3)
Almost every year Dortmund has 20% to 30% higher win rate at home compared to away games.
This season it& #39;s 40% lower but if you add the two lost wins because of overtime own goals it would be an away win rate of 46%, which qould be the BVB average, no worries needed right here
This season it& #39;s 40% lower but if you add the two lost wins because of overtime own goals it would be an away win rate of 46%, which qould be the BVB average, no worries needed right here