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New Zealand, South Korea, Germany, Taiwan, Thailand, Australia, Singapore, HK, Japan, Norway, Canada, + CA have a combined population of nearly 500m people, but 1,900 fewer COVID deaths than NYC. Density isn& #39;t the problem. Failing to plan, prepare, and act early/aggressively is.
Sources:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/japan/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-korea/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/thailand/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/new-zealand/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china-hong-kong-sar/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/canada/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/norway/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/singapore/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/taiwan/">https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir...
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/japan/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/germany/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir... href=" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_New_York_City
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020... href=" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_California">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020...
“Density isn’t a factor?”
No, density is *a* factor. It& #39;s just not *the* factor. South Korea, Singapore, etc. are among the most densely populated places on planet earth, yet they have low death counts.
No, density is *a* factor. It& #39;s just not *the* factor. South Korea, Singapore, etc. are among the most densely populated places on planet earth, yet they have low death counts.
"Don& #39;t race and socioeconomic factors matter?"
Unequivocally! https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-exposing-our-racial-divides/609526/">https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/arc...
Unequivocally! https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-exposing-our-racial-divides/609526/">https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/arc...
In the immediate, however, the city, state, and the federal government could have prepared, planned, and acted early. Their failure to do so was *very* consequential.
Read about that here https://twitter.com/aaronAcarr/status/1248328898024218632?s=20">https://twitter.com/aaronAcar...
Read about that here https://twitter.com/aaronAcarr/status/1248328898024218632?s=20">https://twitter.com/aaronAcar...
"Ok, but how consequential?"
According to Dr. Thomas R. Frieden, the former head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and former commissioner of the city’s Health Department, *extremely* consequential.
According to Dr. Thomas R. Frieden, the former head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and former commissioner of the city’s Health Department, *extremely* consequential.
"But New York has an expansive transit system"
South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, etc. have among the best transit systems in the world and all have low COVID-19 death counts.
South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, etc. have among the best transit systems in the world and all have low COVID-19 death counts.
"New York City residents don& #39;t have cars"
Actually, approximately 50% of NYC households own cars. The borough with the lowest car ownership rate (and highest population density), Manhattan, also appears to have the lowest COVID-19 case rate.
Actually, approximately 50% of NYC households own cars. The borough with the lowest car ownership rate (and highest population density), Manhattan, also appears to have the lowest COVID-19 case rate.
“Why post this amidst a pandemic?”
Because the density of our city (aka the heart of our city) is under attack. It’s vital to understand the root cause of our inordinately high death rate, so NYC/America can learn from this experience and improve, just like Asia did after SARS.
Because the density of our city (aka the heart of our city) is under attack. It’s vital to understand the root cause of our inordinately high death rate, so NYC/America can learn from this experience and improve, just like Asia did after SARS.
Which is why they& #39;re doing so (relatively) well now. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/how-the-us-can-defeat-coronavirus-heed-asias-lessons-from-epidemics-past/2020/03/18/9aa7916a-67a5-11ea-b199-3a9799c54512_story.html">https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asi...
“I heard that Singapore’s case rate has been increasing.”
Yes, and it’s not alone. However, despite being in close proximity to China and one of the first places to get hit with COVID-19, it *still* has only 8 deaths, which is remarkable.
Yes, and it’s not alone. However, despite being in close proximity to China and one of the first places to get hit with COVID-19, it *still* has only 8 deaths, which is remarkable.
Even if Singapore& #39;s death toll were to rise into the dozens or even the hundreds, it speaks to their level of preparedness, preparation, and early action.
Learn about their success here. #4cbc2bf31921">https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2020/03/26/how-singapore-and-south-korea-deal-with-coronavirus-quarantine-measures/ #4cbc2bf31921">https://www.forbes.com/sites/ken...
Learn about their success here. #4cbc2bf31921">https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2020/03/26/how-singapore-and-south-korea-deal-with-coronavirus-quarantine-measures/ #4cbc2bf31921">https://www.forbes.com/sites/ken...
"Only authoritarian places can control COVID-19"
That& #39;s not true. South Korea, New Zealand, Australia, Norway, etc etc are full-fledged democracies, and they all have low death rates.
That& #39;s not true. South Korea, New Zealand, Australia, Norway, etc etc are full-fledged democracies, and they all have low death rates.
"Why is Germany included? Don& #39;t they have a high case rate?"
Yes. Germany screwed up in the beginning by failing to take aggressive action. Then they corrected course, began testing and tracing aggressively, and now enjoy a relatively low fatality rate.
Yes. Germany screwed up in the beginning by failing to take aggressive action. Then they corrected course, began testing and tracing aggressively, and now enjoy a relatively low fatality rate.
"You can& #39;t draw lessons from Asia, it& #39;s a different culture"
So? Testing/tracking isn& #39;t culture, it& #39;s science! Germany incorporated South Korea& #39;s testing model and, as a result, has a significantly lower fatality rate than most places in the west. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/04/world/europe/germany-coronavirus-death-rate.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/0...
So? Testing/tracking isn& #39;t culture, it& #39;s science! Germany incorporated South Korea& #39;s testing model and, as a result, has a significantly lower fatality rate than most places in the west. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/04/world/europe/germany-coronavirus-death-rate.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/0...
"But doesn& #39;t America& #39;s broken healthcare system have something to do with it?"
Oh, absafuckinglutely! Tens of millions of uninsured and underinsured people amidst a global pandemic is *literally* fatal. https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/16/21173766/coronavirus-covid-19-us-cases-health-care-system">https://www.vox.com/policy-an...
Oh, absafuckinglutely! Tens of millions of uninsured and underinsured people amidst a global pandemic is *literally* fatal. https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/16/21173766/coronavirus-covid-19-us-cases-health-care-system">https://www.vox.com/policy-an...
And not just for ppl who lack proper insurance, but for everyone! Our society! Our country! The world! This is what the GOP doesn& #39;t understand.
Not to infringe upon anyone& #39;s negativity, but I think universal healthcare is not a matter of if, but when https://morningconsult.com/2020/03/13/coronavirus-universal-health-care/">https://morningconsult.com/2020/03/1...
Not to infringe upon anyone& #39;s negativity, but I think universal healthcare is not a matter of if, but when https://morningconsult.com/2020/03/13/coronavirus-universal-health-care/">https://morningconsult.com/2020/03/1...
"NYC has a high fatality rate because it& #39;s an international hub"
Hong Kong (4 COVID deaths), Singapore (8 deaths), and Thailand (35 deaths) are also international hubs.
Being an international hub matters, but not as much as planning, preparation, and early + aggressive action.
Hong Kong (4 COVID deaths), Singapore (8 deaths), and Thailand (35 deaths) are also international hubs.
Being an international hub matters, but not as much as planning, preparation, and early + aggressive action.
*THIS* matters more than density
*TESTING* matters more than density
Learn about Cuomo’s missteps here: https://theweek.com/articles/905612/washington-gov-jay-inslee-what-real-coronavirus-leadership-looks-like">https://theweek.com/articles/...
Learn about de Blasio’s missteps here: https://gothamist.com/news/missteps-mayor-bill-de-blasios-coronavirus-response">https://gothamist.com/news/miss...
Learn about Trump’s missteps (especially with regards to testing, which is f-ing vital) here: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/14/21177509/coronavirus-trump-covid-19-pandemic-response">https://www.vox.com/policy-an...
https://www.votwitter.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/14/21177509/coronavirus-trump-covid-19-pandemic-response
Singapore: eight COVID-19 deaths
Seoul, South Korea: two COVID-19 deaths
Tokyo, Japan: 40 COVID deaths
(Note: this # may increase significantly in the coming weeks — Japan dropped the ball on testing, but is still in *much* better shape than NYC/US)
(Note: this # may increase significantly in the coming weeks — Japan dropped the ball on testing, but is still in *much* better shape than NYC/US)
Berlin, Germany: 46 COVID deaths
(After a slow start, Germany, drawing on lessons from South Korea, has implemented one of most aggressive testing/tracing programs in Europe)
(After a slow start, Germany, drawing on lessons from South Korea, has implemented one of most aggressive testing/tracing programs in Europe)
Testing — in conjunction with Germany’s world-class healthcare system — has allowed doctors to put patients on ventilators *before* the point of deterioration. One of many reasons for Germany’s low fatality rate.
The importance of testing cannot be overstated
And, as my newest German friend points out:
https://twitter.com/_markkoenig/status/1249177154811760642?s=21">https://twitter.com/_markkoen... https://twitter.com/_markkoenig/status/1249177154811760642">https://twitter.com/_markkoen...
https://twitter.com/_markkoenig/status/1249177154811760642?s=21">https://twitter.com/_markkoen... https://twitter.com/_markkoenig/status/1249177154811760642">https://twitter.com/_markkoen...
Gd, how beautiful is that?!
The best COVID-19 data on the web https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus ">https://ourworldindata.org/coronavir...
