1. US has had 2 consecutive days of 2000 plus deaths (and that’s an undercount by as much as 50%)—that’s way more than China’s total declared death toll since January. Hospitals are “empty” because many people are staying at home, reducing casualties on roads and at workplaces. https://twitter.com/alexberenson/status/1248295434151514112

2. New York/New Jersey are US epicenters for coronavirus. As death toll mounts there, they will remain paralyzed for weeks. Many (likely infected) who can will flee NY/NJ to other states, stressing more hospitals. Officials could attempt to seal off NY/NJ to prevent wider spread.

3. A month ago, US had 40 deaths total. Today we will cross 20,000 deaths (#1 in the world for Covid-19 deaths). Much of the US essential economy is open in all states. If we re-opened non-essential parts of the economy, who will risk venturing out/spending $ in this climate?

4. In 30 days, US saw 50X increase in Covid-19 deaths with under 1% of adult population tested in many states. If testing ramps up, peak happens next week, how many total deaths can we expect by May 12? Hard to say when likes of Florida aren’t releasing correct confirmed numbers. https://twitter.com/khanoisseur/status/1248975409884127235

5. And what do POTUS and Republican governors itching to re-open non-essential sector of the economy expect to happen once bars, casinos, theme parks etc are re-opened? That millions of travelers from overseas will suddenly swarm into US and start pumping $ into the US economy? https://twitter.com/khanoisseur/status/1248975409884127235

6. With US Covid-19 death toll at 50,000 by next month (majority of deaths will be in cities that are tourist haunts), how many overseas travelers would risk coming to US with a tourism “reopen”? Would US hospitals in such cities have capacity to treat tourists who get sick? https://twitter.com/khanoisseur/status/1248985749468348416