I have been working on a #CoronaVirus modeling system that seems to work 6-7 days out from reality. That isn’t the point of this mornings feed, but look below for latest on global cases and global fatalities across the next week (and historic), today and forward are calculations

But, here is something that has been a thought across the last few days. Right now in the #UnitedStates we have a confirmed case of #COVIDー19 at a rate of 1 person in 658. We have tested 2.5M people or less than 1% of the population. People are still being found as positive

At a rate of more than 30k per day in the US. People that haven’t been tested and may not have symptoms have this thing (that is known and put out by medical professionals). So, what is our real infection rate? Because we tested less than 1% can we assume the same infection

Rate for everyone not infected which means in reality 1 in 65 or so (closer to 1 in 70) has this thing already and either will get bad or just will continue to go about their day and in the process infect others?

What’s my point to this thread. The ONLY way we get back to normal is with 100% testing so people have the information they need about their own situation. So, until we see a plan to get the entire citizenry tested we have no normal.

Arguments against my theory are welcome.

@briankoppelman @ScottAdamsSays @moflatley you may all be interested in this if you have the time, if not I apologize for tagging you, but I hope out of my followers alone someone can convince me I am wrong because I see no plan for 100% testing coming soon.