A few random thoughts on corona...a vaccine isn’t a 100% guarantee. The flu vaccine doesn’t come close to 100% effectiveness. Eventually, we're going to have to transition to some semblance of normalcy. The reality is, most if not all of us are eventually going to get COVID-19.

We have 500,000 cases in the US. Sounds like a lot. But it’s approximately 0.1524% of the population of the entire country. Let’s say 10x that amount actually have it. You’re still barely over 1%.

In other words, 98.5% of the population, even at a magnitude greater than currently confirmed, don’t have the virus. I’m reading conflicting reports, but some are saying once you’ve had it, you’re immune, some are saying just the opposite.

For the sake of argument, let’s assume that once you get it, you’re immune. That doesn’t change how contagious it is, or that you can spread it asymptomatically, supposedly. So, what are the other 98.5% of people supposed to do ad infinitum?

The reality is, this thing isn’t magically going away. It’s probably going to be here permanently. So, we as a society need to figure out how to live with it. Because if you think we’re going to live the rest of our lives not shaking hands, hugging our parents and loved ones...

...not visiting people who are important to us, not going to sporting events, concerts, restaurants, etc., you’re crazy. If the objective is to “flatten the curve,” the logical question is, “Until when?”

In other words, if the goal is to slow the spread to the point where we develop a herd immunity without overwhelming hospitals, how do we measure that? Hospitals aren’t overwhelmed now in most places. But, we’re told, if we relax social distancing, they will be.

So, are we supposed to social distance forever? Are we never supposed to shake hands again? Never supposed to hug someone again? Never supposed to sit within six feet of someone again? Never supposed to go to restaurants? Never supposed to send kids back to school?

Most people will tolerate what is going on right now, but I’d wager that the authorities have, at most, another month of this before people start to riot. The economic losses are only just beginning to be felt, and they will have far-reaching consequences.

People will do this as long as they see a tangible benefit. But everyone has a breaking point. Everyone reaches a point where they say, “Enough is enough. I’m not doing this anymore.” People being arrested for going to the park, forcing the closures of “non-essential” businesses.

People being forcibly dragged off of public transportation for not wearing a mask, people losing their jobs, kids getting stir crazy, and just the sheer loneliness of prolonged separation for loved ones...everyone has a breaking point.

Eventually, people are going to say, “If my choice is risk infecting my parents vs. never visiting them again, or seeing them through a glass pane, I’ll take my chances.” I’m hearing LOTS of people who have already reached this point for Easter.

If you really expect people just to stay home all summer and binge on Netflix, if this extends (or comes back) into the fall and winter, and you realistically expect people not to visit loved ones on Thanksgiving or Christmas, you’re crazy.

Protecting people is one thing...forcing people to become hermits, trapped in their own homes, is quite another. Again, my guess, just from having some semblance of an idea of human nature, they’ve got another months, tops, before most people say, “Screw it.”