Turkey's Crises: Demographic Shift [THREAD]

Fertility Rate By Province VS Majority Ethnicity Make Up

Quickly Declining Areas & Decreasing Areas
>Turkish Sunnis/Atheists

No Change Areas
>Turkish Sunnis/Atheists
>Arab Shia Alawites

Increasing Areas
> Zaza Alevis
> Kurd Sunnis
> Aramean/Assyrian Orthodox
> Arab Shia Alawites
> Azerbaijani Shias
> Georgian Orthodox

Sub-replacement fertility is any rate below approximately 2.1 children born per woman which leads to each new generation being less populous than the older, previous one in a given area. Which means the population will lead to a decline and cannot be reversed.

Also worth adding, the 2-3 fertility rate in Istanbul is showing an area in outer Istanbul where Kurds make up the majority which is 2 Million. https://rlp.hds.harvard.edu/faq/kurds-turkey

With a growing birth rate in Non-Turkish areas in Turkey, Erdogan's method of mass bombing Kurds will cause an upheat in Rebellion as seen with PKK since 2014 as racial wars will be more inevitable in the future. Once Non-Turks crossover Turkish birthrates, Turks will have a...

crises in a biblical scale. Kurds make up around 18% of Turkey’s population, this is a 2010 estimate.

Source: Neophytos G. Loizides, “State Ideology and the Kurds in Turkey,” Middle Eastern Studies, Vol. 46, No. 4 (2010), pp. 513-527.

Here is a screenshot of number of births in 2017, The highlighted are Kurdish majority areas. All over represented from the populations of Turkish majority areas.

The "Kurds will overtake Turks by 2038" is not a meme, it's very real to the point where Erdogan even warned this of happening if the same rate is still occurring, and it's even worse then he claimed when he made this speech 10 years ago.

Highest Unemployment rate in Europe is Turkey, in Greece after the financial crises they have seen an increase on employment which makes Turkey the new leader board in highest unemployment rate which will cause an economic collapse, this is effecting Turkey's financial stability.

As Coronavirus spreads, we will see a mass rate of infections and Fatalities in the next coming weeks. Turkey hasn't peaked yet in the Coronavirus. Unironically majority effected are in Turkish Majority areas.

Another thing mentioning besides an economic collapse (which I really didn't cover enough in this thread), Coronavirus, Birth rates, political division (even within Turkish communities such as the 2016 coup that saw Gülen movement shutdown with hundreds of thousands of arrests)..

including with the factor of the Syrian civil war where recently the offensive in Idlib has caused a push of reclaiming land under Bashar Al Assad. Majority of Turkish militrary is seeing a high death toll causing opinion backlash under Erdogan's government.