Read on Twitter
One gigantic lift machine by 00z Sunday night over the lower MS/TN Valley. Not that we didn& #39;t already know that, but dang.
Same really is true through 18z too just large scale ascent
Aids in getting these really saturated (yet insanely sheared columns)
3-6 km lapses are still 7.2 C/km in this projection though but that is some fairly skinny cape if you mentally shift the vtc parcel to the left at all.
3-6 km lapses are still 7.2 C/km in this projection though but that is some fairly skinny cape if you mentally shift the vtc parcel to the left at all.
By 18z youve got a very subtle area of lift overrunning the moisture gradient (which is right in the core of the 850mb jet and parameter space)
And then you& #39;ve got the area back along the pac front under the sort of EML BUT the 850 jet core is departing to the east
And then you& #39;ve got the area back along the pac front under the sort of EML BUT the 850 jet core is departing to the east
But area 1 is in that very saturated column, which I wonder if might contribute to messier storm modes/overconvecting although the 7.3 C/km lapse is I believe a little steeper than your average event (kinda wondering Lee county super in a soup of shra)
but the open warm sector itself with that 300mb jet core moving in overhead would be speed-wise in a neutral lift area although to the east where the diffluence seems to be causing that subtle area of lift I don& #39;t see a lot that would get the event going/freely convecting
But in the southeast, there always seems to be sufficient low-level moisture and heat that getting the warm sector initiation, especially that close to the gulf, isn& #39;t a huge challenge.
the way that 700mb drier layer/eml/pac front hybrid works all the way into middle tenn and north alabama is concerning though
but its also a meandering pacific upper low thats really sparking the show, and not a big diving polar kicker jet that swings in at 130 kts and drops heights like crazy. Not that it really matters - but I wonder a little bit about lapse rates
but thats a huge area of extremely favorable parameter space, would be hard I would think to not get something (maybe several somethings) of course that can tap that environment
