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Important news for Australia:
The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine estimates that R is already below 1, following the shutdown (right graph).
It is much better than the numbers used by the government's modelling (1.69-1.9).
#COVID19au 1/2
https://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/global/
The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine estimates that R is already below 1, following the shutdown (right graph).
It is much better than the numbers used by the government's modelling (1.69-1.9).
#COVID19au 1/2
https://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/global/
Explainer: R is the effective reproduction number: it is, on average, how many people an infected person will infect. When R is below 1 the epidemic progressively dies down. When it is above 1, it keeps growing.
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