Most people base their electoral predictions on an assumption.

That assumption is the GOP has retained or can recoup its 2016 and earlier strength.

I do not make this assumption, I know the opposite is true.

That& #39;s why I& #39;m usually right.

The GOP& #39;s losses have only gotten worse and more frequent in the past 4 years.

"An object in motion" and all that.

It& #39;s not slowing down, it& #39;s speeding up.

We see this constantly.

GOP is underperforming with the rural vote while Dems are overperforming with the suburban and metropolitan vote.

It& #39;s been consistent in every election since the VA governor& #39;s race and Doug Jones& #39; win in 2017.

Even the ones where the GOP squeaks it out, it isn& #39;t because they overperformed, it& #39;s because Dems came up short.