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NEW: Fri 10 April update of coronavirus trajectories
Daily new deaths:
• US & UK still on clear trend of rising daily deaths. Reporting patterns may give occasional dips, but clearly trending up
• India daily death toll accelerating
Live charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Daily new deaths:
• US & UK still on clear trend of rising daily deaths. Reporting patterns may give occasional dips, but clearly trending up
• India daily death toll accelerating
Live charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Now cumulative deaths:
• US death toll still ramping up, and likely to become the highest worldwide if not tonight then certainly tomorrow
• Australia still looking promising
• India still steepening
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
• US death toll still ramping up, and likely to become the highest worldwide if not tonight then certainly tomorrow
• Australia still looking promising
• India still steepening
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Now daily new cases:
• Early signs that new infections in US *may* be peaking
• Austria’s new cases still falling. They plan to ease lockdown next week; will the line bend back up?
• Noway (lockdown) and Sweden (not so much) diverging...
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
• Early signs that new infections in US *may* be peaking
• Austria’s new cases still falling. They plan to ease lockdown next week; will the line bend back up?
• Noway (lockdown) and Sweden (not so much) diverging...
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Cases in cumulative form:
• US may end up off the chart again (above 500,000 cases) by the end of the night
• Turkey is battling one of the world’s most severe outbreaks
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
• US may end up off the chart again (above 500,000 cases) by the end of the night
• Turkey is battling one of the world’s most severe outbreaks
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Now subnational region daily deaths:
• NY death toll still rising every day
• London the same
• Few places have had daily death tolls still rising this far in; these two are now the two urban epicentres, globally
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
• NY death toll still rising every day
• London the same
• Few places have had daily death tolls still rising this far in; these two are now the two urban epicentres, globally
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Subnational death tolls cumulatively:
• NY likely to have world’s highest subnational death toll within days
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
• NY likely to have world’s highest subnational death toll within days
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Now small multiples of daily deaths in subnational regions:
• We’re now showing all UK countries (Northern Ireland added); England still accelerating much more steeply than the rest
• 15 US states now, several looking steep
• Sicily peaked early: do islands fare better?
• We’re now showing all UK countries (Northern Ireland added); England still accelerating much more steeply than the rest
• 15 US states now, several looking steep
• Sicily peaked early: do islands fare better?
Small multiples for daily new deaths in 46 countries:
• Norway locked down while Sweden didn’t; Norway’s daily death toll rising much more slowly than Sweden’s
• Brazil & Turkey tracking China
• India accelerating sharply
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
• Norway locked down while Sweden didn’t; Norway’s daily death toll rising much more slowly than Sweden’s
• Brazil & Turkey tracking China
• India accelerating sharply
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Finally, small multiples for daily cases in 66 countries:
• Early action in Australia & NZ => may have turned the corner early
• Austria & Norway also locked down early => new cases falling
• US lockdowns piecemeal & late => trajectory off the chart & still rising
• Early action in Australia & NZ => may have turned the corner early
• Austria & Norway also locked down early => new cases falling
• US lockdowns piecemeal & late => trajectory off the chart & still rising
Things to note:
• Daily covid data is extremely noisy and implies false precision
• This is why we use a rolling average. Watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific daily numbers
• Read Tuesday’s thread for more on this https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1247666977566490626
• Daily covid data is extremely noisy and implies false precision
• This is why we use a rolling average. Watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific daily numbers
• Read Tuesday’s thread for more on this https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1247666977566490626
I’ve also changed data sources.
I’m no longer happy using Worldometers, so tonight I dropped them as even a secondary source and got data directly from official sources in all cases.
This takes longer, but given my concerns over data quality on covid, I think this is important.
I’m no longer happy using Worldometers, so tonight I dropped them as even a secondary source and got data directly from official sources in all cases.
This takes longer, but given my concerns over data quality on covid, I think this is important.
Here’s a video where I explain why we’re using log scales, showing absolute numbers instead of per capita, and much more: https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1244519429825802240
And a chart showing why we're using absolute numbers rather than population-adjusted rates: https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1244380095164420101
Please email coronavirus-data@ft.com with feedback, requests & subnational data.
All of these are invaluable, and we incorporate your suggestions and data every day.
We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible.
Hope you’ve all had ... Good Fridays :-)
All of these are invaluable, and we incorporate your suggestions and data every day.
We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible.
Hope you’ve all had ... Good Fridays :-)
