Read on Twitter
Good afternoon everyone! The IHME model just updated again. The changes at first glance don& #39;t seem as drastic as they have been in previous updates, but still worth looking over what has changed:
Overall US:
# of total deaths increased a tad from 60,414, to now 61,545 deaths
-Projected total bed shortage decreased from 15,852 to 12,697
-Peak hospital usage stayed at 4/11, peak daily death toll went from 4/12 to 4/10(today).
-Under 200 deaths a day went from 5/16 to 5/21
# of total deaths increased a tad from 60,414, to now 61,545 deaths
-Projected total bed shortage decreased from 15,852 to 12,697
-Peak hospital usage stayed at 4/11, peak daily death toll went from 4/12 to 4/10(today).
-Under 200 deaths a day went from 5/16 to 5/21
Individual state: NY
-Peak hospital use and peak daily death toll are the same (4/8 and 4/9 respectively)
-Total deaths now projected to be 13,463 instead of 13,307
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/29 instead of 4/28
-Peak hospital use and peak daily death toll are the same (4/8 and 4/9 respectively)
-Total deaths now projected to be 13,463 instead of 13,307
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/29 instead of 4/28
State: FL
-Peak hospital use expected to be on 4/26 instead of 4/21. -Peak daily death toll expected to be on 4/27 instead of 4/23
-Total deaths now projected to be 3,999 instead of 4,257
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/24 instead of 5/21.
-Peak hospital use expected to be on 4/26 instead of 4/21. -Peak daily death toll expected to be on 4/27 instead of 4/23
-Total deaths now projected to be 3,999 instead of 4,257
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/24 instead of 5/21.
State: NJ
-Peak hospital use is now projected to have been on 4/8 instead of 4/12. Peak daily death toll projected to have been on 4/8 instead of 4/12.
-Total deaths projected went from 5,277 to 3,915
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/27 instead of 4/29
-Peak hospital use is now projected to have been on 4/8 instead of 4/12. Peak daily death toll projected to have been on 4/8 instead of 4/12.
-Total deaths projected went from 5,277 to 3,915
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/27 instead of 4/29
State: MI
-Peak hospital use is still projected to have been on 4/7
-Peak daily death toll projected is now estimated to have taken place on 4/7 instead of 4/9
-Total deaths projected went to 1,977 from 2,103
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/24 instead of 4/23
-Peak hospital use is still projected to have been on 4/7
-Peak daily death toll projected is now estimated to have taken place on 4/7 instead of 4/9
-Total deaths projected went to 1,977 from 2,103
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/24 instead of 4/23
State: TX
-Peak hospital use is now projected to be on 4/26 instead of 4/22. Peak daily death toll expected to be on 4/28 instead of 4/24.
-Total deaths projected went from 2,042 to 2,350
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/21 instead of 5/14
-Peak hospital use is now projected to be on 4/26 instead of 4/22. Peak daily death toll expected to be on 4/28 instead of 4/24.
-Total deaths projected went from 2,042 to 2,350
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/21 instead of 5/14
State: Va
-Peak hospital use now projected to be on 4/26 instead of 4/20. Peak daily death toll projected to be on 4/27 instead of 4/22
-Total deaths projected went from 891 to 830.
- Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/05 instead of 5/1
-Peak hospital use now projected to be on 4/26 instead of 4/20. Peak daily death toll projected to be on 4/27 instead of 4/22
-Total deaths projected went from 891 to 830.
- Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/05 instead of 5/1
State: IL
-Peak hospital use is now projected to have been on 4/3 instead of 4/11. Peak daily death toll expected to have been on 4/8 instead of 4/12.
-Total deaths projected went from 1,588 to 777
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/17 instead of 4/27.
-Peak hospital use is now projected to have been on 4/3 instead of 4/11. Peak daily death toll expected to have been on 4/8 instead of 4/12.
-Total deaths projected went from 1,588 to 777
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/17 instead of 4/27.
State: GA
-Peak hospital on 4/26 instead of 4/20. Peak daily death toll on 4/27 instead of 4/21
-Total deaths projected went from 2,630 to 3,564.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/25 instead of 5/15
-Peak hospital on 4/26 instead of 4/20. Peak daily death toll on 4/27 instead of 4/21
-Total deaths projected went from 2,630 to 3,564.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/25 instead of 5/15
State: LA
-Peak hospital use was on 4/4 (same as last update). Peak daily death toll projected was 4/8 instead of 4/7.
-Total deaths projected went from 946 to 1,125.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/19 instead of 4/16
-Peak hospital use was on 4/4 (same as last update). Peak daily death toll projected was 4/8 instead of 4/7.
-Total deaths projected went from 946 to 1,125.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/19 instead of 4/16
State: CA
-Peak hospital and daily death toll stay the same at 4/13 and 4/15 respectively.
-Total deaths projected went from 1,611 to 1,616.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/29, same as before.
-Peak hospital and daily death toll stay the same at 4/13 and 4/15 respectively.
-Total deaths projected went from 1,611 to 1,616.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/29, same as before.
State: WA
-Peak hospital use estimated to have been on 4/5 instead of 4/6. Peak daily death toll estimated to have occurred on 4/6 (same as last update.)
-Total deaths projected went from 700 to 842.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/19 instead of 4/10
-Peak hospital use estimated to have been on 4/5 instead of 4/6. Peak daily death toll estimated to have occurred on 4/6 (same as last update.)
-Total deaths projected went from 700 to 842.
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/19 instead of 4/10
If I did not include your state in this thread, the IHME model can be accessed here where you can select your state. https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america">https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-st...
