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1/ How could social distancing reduce stress on Texas hospitals?
Estimates from @UTaustin researchers show how much distancing it could take to “flatten the curve,” or spread out #COVID19 hospitalizations over time, in 22 Texas metro areas. http://bit.ly/34jJbqt
Estimates from @UTaustin researchers show how much distancing it could take to “flatten the curve,” or spread out #COVID19 hospitalizations over time, in 22 Texas metro areas. http://bit.ly/34jJbqt
2/ Their work shows that even if all Texans reduce contact with people outside their households by half, it still wouldn’t be enough to stem a surge of hospitalizations that would overwhelm medical capacity in metro areas this spring and summer. http://bit.ly/34jJbqt
3/ The estimates consider hypothetical scenarios based on whether residents reduce contact with people outside their households by 0%, 50%, 75% or 90%. http://bit.ly/34jJbqt
4/ Lauren Ancel Meyers, a @UTAustin professor of integrative biology and statistics, projects that extreme social distancing measures — cutting social interactions by at least 90% — could meaningfully flatten the curve. http://bit.ly/34jJbqt
5/ Take note: Experts caution that such predictive models should be taken with a grain of salt, given how much circumstances vary on the ground and the lack of testing, making it difficult to measure the extent of the virus' spread so far. http://bit.ly/34jJbqt
6/ @nytimes reported that even as new and faster tests become available, lengthy delays to obtain results continue and test materials are running low, compounding the crises hospitals are facing. http://nyti.ms/2V03whL
7/ The researchers’ estimates are current as of April 1, one day after @GovAbbott ordered all Texans to stay at home for the next month unless they are taking part in essential services and activities. http://bit.ly/2yGowkH
8/8 Here, you can look up 22 Texas metro areas to see how school closures and different levels of social distancing would impact coronavirus hospitalizations there: http://bit.ly/34jJbqt
