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A solution to the prolonged Covid lockdown "dance", one that saves docs & nurses from dying due to lack of PPE,
allowing people in participating nations to live without existential fear,
easing global threat to food security,
one that can also solve 1.5˚- and equitably?
A thread:
allowing people in participating nations to live without existential fear,
easing global threat to food security,
one that can also solve 1.5˚- and equitably?
A thread:
So far, 95 docs&nurses died in Italy https://www.repubblica.it/cronaca/2020/04/08/news/coronavirus_in_italia_contagi_morti_e_tutte_le_news_sulla_situazione-253428215/?ref=RHPPTP-BH-I253408711-C12-P3-S1.8-T1
The global Covid dance depends on global availability of PPE. Required:
* Order suitable companies to make PPE & testing gear.
* regional & national border/airport lockdowns until *every* country's stocks are filled.
The global Covid dance depends on global availability of PPE. Required:
* Order suitable companies to make PPE & testing gear.
* regional & national border/airport lockdowns until *every* country's stocks are filled.
You can't just replace dead docs from Angola - Zambia. A German co-director of a Wuhan hospital said, only 6h shifts lowered the doc and nurse mortality https://riffreporter.de/corona-virus/corona-wuhan-exit-maskenpflicht-krankenhaus-interview-nagel/
6h shifts =more PPE and staff. So the Covid dance is a global dance around global availability of PPE
6h shifts =more PPE and staff. So the Covid dance is a global dance around global availability of PPE
But prolonged, stringent containment measures to save lives, including lives of docs and nurses in all nations, makes debts piling up for nations and people, causes hunger and evictions from homes and offices.
While a few profiteers leer at their new money https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/08/world/americas/ecuador-coronavirus.html
While a few profiteers leer at their new money https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/08/world/americas/ecuador-coronavirus.html
So far, experts only stare at national navels, experts in EU states, too. Media debate national Covid dances. The run for PPE is a race between nations -the rich win.
The fallout is softened only nationally.
Ignoring that all Covid dances are intertwined with each other:
The fallout is softened only nationally.
Ignoring that all Covid dances are intertwined with each other:
Interconnected production chains falter and still experts won't apply global thinking.
carry the virus from one nation to the next. And back to where the epidemic was halted. Still experts and governments won't look for global solutions.
The market or Blackrock won't solve this
carry the virus from one nation to the next. And back to where the epidemic was halted. Still experts and governments won't look for global solutions.The market or Blackrock won't solve this
The fallout from Covid lockdowns, ie dance, is amplified by the growing threat to food security.
Crop loss from locust, drought, flood has happened and can be expected to happen in many regions. In S-E Asia, Southern Africa, from E-Africa to Pakistan and https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/brazil-argentina-clobbered-by-drought
Crop loss from locust, drought, flood has happened and can be expected to happen in many regions. In S-E Asia, Southern Africa, from E-Africa to Pakistan and https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/brazil-argentina-clobbered-by-drought
Crop loss can be expected in the breadbasket Europe (layperson's guess) due to floods in UK and prevailing drought, carried over since 2018 https://nasagrace.unl.edu
Global quarantine rules cd cause crop loss, as well, as indicated in a pandemic model report by
@rki_de from 2012.
Global quarantine rules cd cause crop loss, as well, as indicated in a pandemic model report by
@rki_de from 2012.
@JimBair62221006 has a continued thread on global droughts https://twitter.com/JimBair62221006/status/1248084204891430912
Price hikes for food causes riots even in non-Covid times. Then brittle states crumble; the fallout reaches everywhere. For one, bc production often depends on import from these failing states.
Price hikes for food causes riots even in non-Covid times. Then brittle states crumble; the fallout reaches everywhere. For one, bc production often depends on import from these failing states.
Why should you care if you're decadent complacent? Suddenly, you won't be able to afford food ..or smartphones. Or EV -because lithium is mined in already brittle states like Chile, Ecuador or Bolivia.
Finally: the climate angle. Lithium for CO2-free houses, offices, factories.
Finally: the climate angle. Lithium for CO2-free houses, offices, factories.
If the human world after Covid is in uproar bc all nations then are poor and no government had experienced solidarity from another, the willingness for meaningful CO2 reduction will cease completely. What then?
Coward Paris NDC today wd already be leading to a 3˚C warmer world.
Coward Paris NDC today wd already be leading to a 3˚C warmer world.
We must demand and succeed in global solidarity during the Covid pandemic. We must save our docs and nurses with global availability of PPE.
To finally pave the path to a habitable warming, solidarity and global thinking during Covid is crucial. My solution for Covid solves 1.5˚
To finally pave the path to a habitable warming, solidarity and global thinking during Covid is crucial. My solution for Covid solves 1.5˚
My solution for Covid solves 1.5˚. And it solves the threat to food security.
Rations for everything for all and home guarantees. And Non-profit to avoid silly austerity measures and silly nation devaluation like after the bank and financial market crisis. https://twitter.com/anlomedad/status/1245003490180595713
Rations for everything for all and home guarantees. And Non-profit to avoid silly austerity measures and silly nation devaluation like after the bank and financial market crisis. https://twitter.com/anlomedad/status/1245003490180595713
Home guarantees, rations & non-profit allow us to close superfluous industries without causing existential fears. Lockdowns can be stretched until PPE production has filled global stocks.
Rations immediately stop the high-speed consumption of the rich.
=CO2 reduction of over 35%
Rations immediately stop the high-speed consumption of the rich.
=CO2 reduction of over 35%
For 10yrs, this global system hiatus can be used to combine efforts to transition to RE and to force-implement circular material use. #circulareconomy is crucial for staying below 2˚bc it reduces the fallout from mining on water, habitat and carbon sinks.
Hiatus means temporary.
Hiatus means temporary.
A system hiatus is not a decision for "system change". Societies can debate such change during the hiatus, should they wish; and implement change once the global transition to RE and #circulareconomy is accomplished.
But debating the next system first costs lives/time/CO2.
But debating the next system first costs lives/time/CO2.
At a warming near 1.5˚, all nations keep the option for system choice, should they so wish. They can debate it during the 10yr system hiatus.
But > 1.5˚, the fallout from climate change and human individual and group psychology will inevitably lead to Hitlers across the world.
But > 1.5˚, the fallout from climate change and human individual and group psychology will inevitably lead to Hitlers across the world.
Food shortage from locust/flood/drought is happening in our 1.2˚warmer world. Imagine how much worse 1.5˚will be or even 2˚and warmer.
We can stop that. Probably. But we must act swiftly and determined and in global solidarity.
"Swiftly" and "for-profit" are mutually exclusive.
We can stop that. Probably. But we must act swiftly and determined and in global solidarity.
"Swiftly" and "for-profit" are mutually exclusive.
The global budget for 66% chance at 1.5˚is 235Gt CO2 as of 1.1.2020.
I did a back-of-the-envelope model for emissions under non-profit and rations. Beginning 2021 with a few EU states and China, US joins last by 2027,
CO2 from 2019-2030 is 300Gt and world CO2/year 10Gt by 2030.
I did a back-of-the-envelope model for emissions under non-profit and rations. Beginning 2021 with a few EU states and China, US joins last by 2027,
CO2 from 2019-2030 is 300Gt and world CO2/year 10Gt by 2030.
So it's a dire situation we're in and rations barely achieve 1.5˚without overshoot. But it's the best bet we have. During the hiatus and in this spirit, recovery from more and more weather disasters can be eased quickly. Because it strengthens solidarity and leaves no one behind.
I think it's the solution. And nations don't need to wait for the big economies to begin, like US or Germany. Just partner up with a few willing nations and share resources non-profit - the rest of the world follows automatically one by one. Merkel, Trump and Putin probably last.
And don't think ppl won't agree to it. They do.
You show well meaning(!) people this little poll. And what do they answer?
"I'd do it. But people won't agree to it, ever."
They think just like you: that people (like you!) feel no altruism
It's a paradox, right? And not true
You show well meaning(!) people this little poll. And what do they answer?
"I'd do it. But people won't agree to it, ever."
They think just like you: that people (like you!) feel no altruism
It's a paradox, right? And not true
Previously pinned tweet https://twitter.com/anlomedad/status/1219198171076857857
