NEW: Thurs 9 April update of coronavirus trajectories

Daily new deaths:
• US & UK are still upward slopes on a log scale, i.e each day generally brings more deaths than the last
• Japan death toll tracking Italy

All live charts, free to read: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Now daily new cases:
• Early signs that new infections in US *may* be peaking, but need to wait a few days yet...
• Austria’s new cases still falling. They plan to ease lockdown next week; will the line bend back up?

All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Cases in cumulative form:
• Looks like I’m gonna have to extend my y-axis again to accommodate the US...
• Reported Indian infections picking up speed after slow early pace. I’d say this owes as much to more testing as accelerating outbreak

All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Subnational region daily deaths:
• NY death toll rising every day; higher than anywhere else in the world at any point
• London still on trend of more deaths each day than the last
• We’ve got good enough data to reinstate French regions https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇫🇷" title="Flag of France" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of France">

All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Subnational death tolls cumulatively:
• NY likely to have world’s highest subnational death toll within days

All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Now small multiples of daily deaths in 68 subnational regions:
• We’re now showing all UK countries (Northern Ireland added); England still accelerating much more steeply than the rest
• 14 US states now, several looking steep
• Sicily peaked early: do islands fare better?
Small multiples for daily new deaths in 45 countries:
• Norway locked down while Sweden didn’t; Norway’s daily death toll rising much more slowly than Sweden’s
• Brazil & Turkey tracking China
• India accelerating sharply

All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Finally, small multiples for daily cases in 65 countries:
• Early action in Australia & New Zealand means they may have turned the corner early https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇦🇺" title="Flag of Australia" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of Australia">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇳🇿" title="Flag of New Zealand" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of New Zealand">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📉" title="Chart with downwards trend" aria-label="Emoji: Chart with downwards trend">
• Saudi Arabia added
• Japan’s delayed outbreak continues https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">

Live versions of all charts here: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Finally, small multiples for daily cases in 65 countries:• Early action in Australia & New Zealand means they may have turned the corner early https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇳🇿" title="Flag of New Zealand" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of New Zealand">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📉" title="Chart with downwards trend" aria-label="Emoji: Chart with downwards trend">• Saudi Arabia added• Japan’s delayed outbreak continues https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">Live versions of all charts here: https://ft.com/coronavir..." title="Finally, small multiples for daily cases in 65 countries:• Early action in Australia & New Zealand means they may have turned the corner early https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇦🇺" title="Flag of Australia" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of Australia">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇳🇿" title="Flag of New Zealand" aria-label="Emoji: Flag of New Zealand">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📉" title="Chart with downwards trend" aria-label="Emoji: Chart with downwards trend">• Saudi Arabia added• Japan’s delayed outbreak continues https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">Live versions of all charts here: https://ft.com/coronavir..." class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
Things to note:
• Daily covid data is extremely noisy and implies false precision
• This is why we use a rolling average. Watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific daily numbers
• Read Tuesday’s thread for more on this https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1247666977566490626">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
Here’s a video where I explain why we’re using log scales, showing absolute numbers instead of per capita, and much more: https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1244519429825802240">https://twitter.com/janinegib...
And a chart showing why we& #39;re using absolute numbers rather than population-adjusted rates: https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1244380095164420101">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
Please email coronavirus-data@ft.com with feedback, requests & subnational data.

All of these are invaluable, and we incorporated two of your suggestions today.

We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible.

Have a good night, folks https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👍" title="Thumbs up" aria-label="Emoji: Thumbs up">
Oh, and a few questions coming in about our France numbers, as they’re lower than those from other sources.

The reason: 100s of French deaths in nursing homes were published on one day, producing a huge artificial jump, so we’re using hospital deaths only.

My full statement:
And yes, we did have dinner tonight.

Chinese dumplings again, but this time filled with salmon.
We& #39;re now watching Train to Busan. Enjoy your evenings, everyone
You can follow @jburnmurdoch.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: