UPDATE:

New preliminary results in a german town show high fraction (14%) of population infected, mostly asymptomatically.

(In US that would be 45 million people)

I do not think we're there yet, but I do think we're very well into the many millions.

https://www.land.nrw/sites/default/files/asset/document/zwischenergebnis_covid19_case_study_gangelt_0.pdf https://twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1246338140232695814
Should be noted that the German town is NOT necessarily representative of everywhere.

But... does show just how transmissible this virus is and can be.

Testing has continued to obscure our numbers in the US and everywhere. More serological evaluations will converge on truth
The tweet retweeted above was almost a week ago now.

Testing deficiencies suggest its likely that, then, we were >4 million infections. Now even more.

The unknowns in the #COVID19 testing data make this a very difficult thing to model.

New Ab tests are key.
You can follow @michaelmina_lab.
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