The #1 densest city in America, New York City, has 475 times more COVID-19 deaths than San Francisco, the #2 densest city in America.

Governor Cuomo's attack on density is frivolous and wrong.

Acting early matters more than density.

San Francisco acted early.
“Excuse our arrogance as New Yorkers, we think we have the best health care system on the planet right here in NY,” Mr. Cuomo said on March 2. “What happened in other countries versus what happened here, we don’t even think it’s going to be as bad as it was in other countries.”
Very wrong https://twitter.com/aaronAcarr/status/1248073213302767616?s=20
"Dr. Thomas R. Frieden, the former head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and former commissioner of the city’s Health Department. 'You have to move really fast. Hours and days. Not weeks. Once it gets ahead of steam, there is no way to stop it.'”
Frame this.

"Dr. Frieden said that if the state and city had adopted widespread social-distancing measures a week or two earlier, including closing schools, stores and restaurants, then the estimated death toll from the outbreak might have been reduced by 50 to 80 percent."
"San Francisco, for example, ordered schools closed on March 12 when that city had 18 confirmed cases; Ohio also ordered its schools closed on the same day, with five confirmed cases. Mr. de Blasio ordered schools in New York to close three days later when the city had 329 cases"
"Then seven Bay Area counties imposed stay-at-home rules on March 17. Two days later, the entire state of California ordered the same. New York State’s stay-at-home order came on the 20th, and went into effect on March 22."
“New York City as a whole was late in social measures,” said Isaac B. Weisfuse, a former New York City deputy health commissioner. “Any after-action review of the pandemic in New York City will focus on that issue. It has become the major issue in the transmission of the virus.”
“Everything was slow,” said Councilman @StephenLevin33, a Brooklyn Democrat who had called for City Hall to take swifter action as the outbreak spread. “You have to adapt really quickly, and nothing we were doing was adapting quickly.”
“We can really keep this thing contained,” Mr. de Blasio said at a news conference about virus preparations in late February. That tone continued even after the first positive case was announced on March 1.
"But few, if any, appeared to have made significant efforts before the virus hit to greatly increase supplies of ventilators or protective gear, looking instead to draw on emergency government stockpiles."
"By 3/5, Mr. de Blasio seemed to acknowledge the virus had spread beyond control. 'You have to assume it could be anywhere in the city,' he said. Still, not wanting to cause undue alarm, he told NYers to go on with their normal lives, which left many confused..."
"NYC's health commissioner had sought to reassure commuters, in early Feb, that 'this is not something that you’re going to contract in the subway or on the bus.' The mayor reiterated the point several times in early March. But there seemed to be little basis for that confidence"
"In California, Los Angeles followed San Francisco’s lead and ordered its schools closed on March 13, after 40 cases of the virus had been confirmed. On that same day, there were nearly four times as many confirmed cases in NY, but City Hall did not yet support closing schools"
"Old rivalries crept in. Though [the Mayor + Gov] put up a unified front at the outset of the outbreak, it was clear by mid-March that a high-stakes version of their longstanding political battles was playing out. The 3/2 news conference has been their only appearance together."
"That Sunday morning, March 15, Health Department officials gave Mr. de Blasio some chilling forecasts of the number of possible dead if more restrictions were not imposed... Finally, Mr. de Blasio was persuaded."
"NYers would probably soon have to be kept at home for all but the most necessary needs, he said on 3/17, a “shelter-in-place” order similar to what had already been implemented in Bay Area of CA. This time, Mr. Cuomo was the one who resisted. He favored a more gradual shutdown"
*IMPORTANT*

"But then California moved first: Gov. Gavin Newsom issued a statewide order for residents to stay at home. The state had 675 confirmed cases of the virus. That same day, March 19, New York had more than 4,152."
"The governor had been reviewing disturbing projections about the spread of the virus since 4:30 a.m., she said. 'OK, let’s shut it down,' she recalled the governor saying. He announced it the next day. By that point, March 20, the state had more than 7,000 confirmed cases."
My first thread on this: https://twitter.com/aaronAcarr/status/1246317861280366600?s=20
My second: https://twitter.com/aaronAcarr/status/1247359729866866688?s=20
And third: https://twitter.com/aaronAcarr/status/1248018912404336640?s=20
You can follow @aaronAcarr.
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