40/70/90:
Win forty percent white support
Seventy percent brown support
Ninety percent black support
With decent turnout and Trump loses. https://twitter.com/amyeve/status/1247984419882692613">https://twitter.com/amyeve/st...
Win forty percent white support
Seventy percent brown support
Ninety percent black support
With decent turnout and Trump loses. https://twitter.com/amyeve/status/1247984419882692613">https://twitter.com/amyeve/st...
Showing my work:
1988 was the last time dems saw 40/70/90 and lost.... And that& #39;s when the electorate was 85 percent white. If dems turnout, it could be 70 or below for the first time ever.
1988 was the last time dems saw 40/70/90 and lost.... And that& #39;s when the electorate was 85 percent white. If dems turnout, it could be 70 or below for the first time ever.
1992:
39/61/83
Close to 40/70/90 but a three way race kept Bush white margins down and he lost 370-168.
39/61/83
Close to 40/70/90 but a three way race kept Bush white margins down and he lost 370-168.
1996: 44/72/84 (Bill ran worse than Hillary with Black voters)
Anyway Bill beat Dole 379-159 for four more years of dem court packing.
Anyway Bill beat Dole 379-159 for four more years of dem court packing.
2006 midterms:
47/69/89...... Hello speaker Pelosi!
When dems hit these marks it& #39;s hard to lose post 1988.
47/69/89...... Hello speaker Pelosi!
When dems hit these marks it& #39;s hard to lose post 1988.
2008:
43/67/95
Ten million vote margin and the first black president. Nancy picked up 21 more house seats.
43/67/95
Ten million vote margin and the first black president. Nancy picked up 21 more house seats.
2012: 39/71/93
Barack won enough white support to win a second term by a fairly comfy margin and to move us forward.
Barack won enough white support to win a second term by a fairly comfy margin and to move us forward.
What dems need to Worry about?
Trump getting to 35 or ABOVE with brown voters. That throws a monkey wrench in the 40/70/90 game.
These two fell victim to that.
Al was 42/62/90 (W got 35 percent Hispanic support)
John was at 41/53/88 (W was at 44 percent brown support.
Trump getting to 35 or ABOVE with brown voters. That throws a monkey wrench in the 40/70/90 game.
These two fell victim to that.
Al was 42/62/90 (W got 35 percent Hispanic support)
John was at 41/53/88 (W was at 44 percent brown support.