Good morning everyone! The IHME model being relied on by the WH has updated again, and I wanted to spotlight some of the changes since the 4/5 update. It's important to remember that each model has its flaws, but can be used to give a ballpark. Let's see what has changed:

Overall US:
-# of total deaths projected decreased from 81,766 to 60,414
-Projected total bed shortage decreased from 34,654 to 15,852
-Peak hospital usage went from 4/15 to 4/11, peak daily death toll went from 4/16 to 4/12
-Under 200 deaths a day moved from 5/18 to 5/16

Individual states: NY
-Peak hospital use and peak daily death toll are the same (4/8 and 4/9 respectively)
-Total deaths now projected to be 13,307 instead of 15,618
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 4/28 instead of 4/30

State: FL
-Peak hospital use expected to be on 4/21 instead of 4/20. Peak daily death toll expected to be on 4/23 instead of 4/21
-Total deaths now projected to be 4,257 instead of 6,770
-Under 20 deaths per day projected to be on 5/21 instead of 5/26