There& #39;s lots of false shadow boxing going on re last night& #39;s Eurogroup. To be clear

1) Italy will never accept an ESM program, even if conditionality is light; this will only happen as a last resort, and in extremis;

2) Dutch were never softening; despite reports to contrary
3) German position is (obvs) more imp & hasn& #39;t moved where *it counts* (CDU, Chancellery, Fin Min);

4) Even if there& #39;s process put in place to explore Coronabonds, bulk of action for MT economic recovery will come from re-purposed/re-designed EU budget

And so it& #39;s always been
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