Private Mortgage Funeral? Long Thread

Week ago I called for the death of private mortgages

And yet we still see offers for private mortgages?

Dead Lender Walking?

Let& #39;s break it down

There are some really old, really strong MICS (Mortgage Investment Corps) out there

2/
/2 They are well managed were always careful and mainly Private First Mortgages, some have billions under management, many over $100M

They never lent over 75% loan to value, some averaging much lower

They& #39;re okay, there will be pain but they& #39;re going to be fine

3/
3/ Then there are "the others"

Range in size from as small as $5M up to big ones, common feature: New

Founded last 5 years mainly by mortgage brokers

So: no previous mortgage admin background, no legal expertise, no experience in loan defaults, nada

Just selling loans

4/
/4 Good at roping in investors too, many Acredited, many NOT, some Mom &.Pop

I am NOT saying these MIC operators had bad intentions at all

But many liked the high 14% to 18% yields of second mortgages and the ease of selling them

And some went to 85% loan to value

5/
/5 Queue the funeral music

Oh and BTW some of them lent to small developers and on raw land: Yikes

90% of second mortgages were refinances so they were for people in debt already, now those folks take deferral from their bank on the first mortgage

Yowsers! TROUBLE

6/
/6 Deferral causes the first mortgages to GROW eroding equity

Top 3 Bad Things for Mortgages:

Unemployment
Unemployment
Unemployment

Oh 4th Thing: Property Value Decline

Payment default only has one effective remedy: Power of Sale Action

The Courts are Closed

7/
/7 So why still lending? Because there& #39;s still cash in the MIC and they need to pay their bills

Some HAVE suspended lending, we have

Some are flogging 6 Month Prepaid Second Mortgages as DEFERRED mortgages, love the stones on them

One thing I don& #39;t know: values

8/
/8 Do property values drop? Don& #39;t know. But likely some erosion and when it happens BOOM 85% seconds are chewed up just when the MICS are facing redemptions

I saw this movie once before in 1991

Here& #39;s something the second mortgage MICs don& #39;t know about: Investor Litigation
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