~80 days today, since countries started publicly reporting COVID-19 (starting in China). I got curious on the pattern of escalation within countries. (Basically, how bad was each country on Day-1, Day-2,... Day 20,...Day 50, etc). So I commissioned a little research. Here you go:

What are we learning here?
1. Exact same virus, vastly different outcomes. You can explain each country& #39;s outcome by one word: CHOICES. Literally choosing life vs. death, staring you in the face. If you& #39;ve ever heard a joke, this is NOT one of them.

2. Nigeria (currently on its Day-40) is faring exceptionally well (256 cases now; 238 as at time of analyses).

But guess who was doing even better on their Day-40?
- France (212 cases then, 70k now)
- USA (24 cases then, 374k now)

They blew their chances to contain this!

3. Question for Nigeria TODAY is this: "Which curve do you like? Pick your curve!" People in Lekki traffic yesterday, or at the parties, you& #39;re literally about to kill us all. Period. And no, this has little to do with the Blood of Jesus (don& #39;t go there). Stay home, goddamit!

4. The United States, my second "home", a country I deeply admired as the greatest nation on earth, is presenting me one of my most profound lessons in leadership: what happens when it is absent while present, dead while alive.

I leave it at that.

5. I recgonise a flaw here: reported cases is driven by capacity+velocity of testing. However, I think the *pace* of spread still reflects accurately with any level of randomised testing. I wouldn& #39;t focus on the curves in asbolute terms, but on what they say directionally.