<thread>

Everything is being pushed back to the fall. Masters tournament, conferences, music festivals, work meetings. We should be thinking this through. What happens with so many competing events happening within a 4-month period?

Plausible next-order outcomes:

° impact on election: disruption to usual media cycle, splintered attention in electorate
° lower attendance at events
° more competition for air tickets
° more competition for hotel rooms
° more competition for media coverage

(cont.)

° splintered marketing budgets
° more competition for venues
° fewer A/V crews to go around
° decrease in availability of stage, lighting, A/V equipment
° sudden spike in catering services, which could strain catering supply chains

(cont.)

° a lingering recession
° lingering unemployment
° competition with what would be the holiday shopping season
° competition with what may or may not be the start of an in-person academic school year (parents might not be able to travel)

And that assumes we don't see a fall resurgence of Covid-19 and/or Covid-19 along with an early flu season.

This doesn't mean you should cancel your plans. These signals are opportunities to solve your future problems now.

If you're rescheduling for fall, you should consider the many next-order outcomes of external factors on your event/organization.

Anticipate risk early and mitigate it.

Better yet, turn that risk into an opportunity.

</thread>