The now infamous Murray Model (IHME) is already overstating DEATHS... just one day into its newly released model.

Even the lower bounds are lost.

April 6th - Deaths
Projected Mean: 12,539
Projected Lower: 11,256

Actual: 10,680

Can we scrap this and get back to work?
If you’re just catching up on this.., the model has been wrong from day 1 on its main goals: predicting hospital burdens

https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1245798197533896704?s=21 https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1245798197533896704
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