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There are a number of people who I thought were intellectually honest who have chosen to block people rather than consider that they could be wrong.
We learn things during a pandemic.
We learn things during a pandemic.
If you published stuff like this, I can understand not wanting to be reminded of it less than three weeks later.
Pandemics can show people they are wrong in real time.
Pundits aren't used to dealing with data and reality confronting their predictions.
https://www.aier.org/article/vital-information-that-is-falling-through-the-cracks/
Pandemics can show people they are wrong in real time.
Pundits aren't used to dealing with data and reality confronting their predictions.
https://www.aier.org/article/vital-information-that-is-falling-through-the-cracks/
Worldwide observed case fatality rate for COVID-19 is 5.54% (74,626 deaths / 1,346,036 confirmed cases).
United States case fatality rate for COVID-19 is 2.96% (10,859 deaths / 366,112 confirmed cases).
These rates are with ~21% recovered worldwide and ~5% recovered in the US.
United States case fatality rate for COVID-19 is 2.96% (10,859 deaths / 366,112 confirmed cases).
These rates are with ~21% recovered worldwide and ~5% recovered in the US.
Libertarians need to engage in real debate about the public policy response, but lazy ideologues prefer to deny the reality of the observed death numbers or speculate about 10x or 100x infections to pretend the disease is not as deadly as it is.
Don't let them misrepresent us.
Don't let them misrepresent us.
The more sophisticated won't ever be caught putting an actual numeric prediction on anything.
They will use adjectives and overwrought language to avoid making a falsifiable statement.
Talking about “hopes and dreams“ is much more slippery than talking about how many will die.
They will use adjectives and overwrought language to avoid making a falsifiable statement.
Talking about “hopes and dreams“ is much more slippery than talking about how many will die.
At least @RichardAEpstein put actual numbers in his articles and papers.
He was incredibly wrong and the analysis based on his assumptions is responsible for unnecessary American deaths due to the White House wanting to believe him.
But at least he made actual predictions.
He was incredibly wrong and the analysis based on his assumptions is responsible for unnecessary American deaths due to the White House wanting to believe him.
But at least he made actual predictions.
Too many people on all sides are just using this crisis to confirm their priors, which is less than useless. https://twitter.com/NicholasDanfort/status/1246465852632956930
