1/ @IHME_UW appears to have updated its model: It has cut the number of hospital beds needed for #COVID patients on the peak of April by 45% - from 262,000 to 141,000 and ICU beds by 26% - from almost 39,700 to 29,200. Yet deaths remain almost the same, around 80,000...

2/ Unfortunately, though the model updated just now, its projections remain inaccurate for actual use TODAY: for example, it predicts New York state on April 5 will need 24,000 beds and 6,000 ICU beds, about 1/3 more than the actual usage today. Not sure what to say about this...

3/ Except that a model that cannot get the facts right at its ACTUAL TIME OF RELEASE may be less than reliable going forward.